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Multiples Valuation: China State Construction Development Holdings Limited

China State Construction Development Holdings Limited (0830.HK)

Industry: Engineering & Construction Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $2.61 — $9.04
Selected (Average) $4.73
Upside to Live 301.22%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $3.77 — $12.13
Selected (Average) $6.40
Upside to Live 442.74%
Live Price $1.18

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
000065.SZ 120 Norinco Internatio 2,111 15.01 14.80 12.01 11.89 13.18 13.96
SSK.JO 121 Stefanutti Stocks 2,091 3.01 3.38 0.39 0.40 0.47 0.50
600284.SS 122 Shanghai Pudong Co 2,070 26.10 26.63 21.23 19.53 51.33 20.65
DNYA.TA 123 Danya Cebus Ltd. 2,028 24.05 21.65 11.65 10.11 17.57 16.55
YIT.HE 124 YIT Oyj 2,021 - - 49.53 66.61 56.61 -
000928.SZ 125 Sinosteel Engineer 2,018 11.87 11.03 4.07 3.70 6.99 4.62
013580.KS 126 Kyeryong Construct 1,979 3.19 3.36 4.35 4.37 3.69 6.16
0830.HK 127 China State Constr 1,978 2.79 1.78 2.52 2.52 2.35 2.79
B5A.DE 128 Bauer AG 1,903 8.96 6.14 2.13 1.86 3.58 3.01
003070.KS 129 Kolon Global Corpo 1,891 18.49 25.93 3.39 3.18 10.38 -
AMRC 130 Ameresco, Inc. 1,884 28.06 27.08 15.53 13.31 21.37 24.63
1459.HK 131 Jujiang Constructi 1,882 - - 7.99 10.81 - -
1627.HK 132 Able Engineering H 1,871 2.92 2.24 -0.23 -0.16 -0.46 -0.21
0385.HK 133 Chinney Alliance G 1,855 1.50 1.69 0.44 0.42 0.99 0.64
GSJ.MC 134 Grupo Empresarial 1,830 11.55 15.32 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.07
KALPATPOWR.NS 135 Kalpataru Power Tr 1,811 18.38 18.38 7.76 7.76 11.59 10.75

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple11.5511.034.214.046.994.62
Full Range Median Multiple11.8714.806.056.0610.386.16
Industry Multiple13.3113.6610.0411.0015.229.23
Market Implied Multiple2.261.442.152.152.012.39
Company (0830.HK) Multiple2.791.782.522.522.352.79
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue152238220220237199
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A9298901,655919
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,3351,3372,4561,225
(-) Net Debt132132132132132132
Winsorized Equity Value1,7522,6217967581,522786
Full Range Median Equity Value1,8003,5171,2021,2042,3231,093
(/) Shares Outstanding290290290290290290
Winsorized Fair Value$6.04$9.04$2.75$2.61$5.25$2.71
Full Range Median Fair Value$6.21$12.13$4.15$4.15$8.01$3.77
Current Price$1.18$1.18$1.18$1.18$1.18$1.18
Upside / Downside412.17%666.16%132.72%121.46%344.99%129.80%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$4.23$6.33$1.92$1.83$3.68$1.90
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY