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Multiples Valuation: China Gas Holdings Limited

China Gas Holdings Limited (0384.HK)

Industry: Regulated Gas Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $11.12 — $21.68
Selected (Average) $14.66
Upside to Live 91.12%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $11.94 — $24.33
Selected (Average) $15.58
Upside to Live 103.07%
Live Price $7.67

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
2688.HK 1 ENN Energy Holding 31,973 5.34 4.44 3.52 2.94 5.00 4.10
1193.HK 2 China Resources Ga 26,395 5.59 5.10 2.72 2.27 4.00 4.23
036460.KS 3 Korea Gas Corporat 24,869 3.96 3.96 8.31 7.17 24.97 11.41
PCG-PI 4 Pacific Gas and El 24,762 12.24 12.24 9.40 9.40 19.06 17.32
NTGY.MC 5 Naturgy Energy Gro 23,669 12.89 11.78 8.44 8.30 10.10 10.23
0384.HK 6 China Gas Holdings 20,449 6.92 6.93 5.69 5.13 7.65 7.53
GAIL.BO 7 GAIL (India) Limit 15,951 10.62 10.11 9.87 8.67 14.96 6.90
0003.HK 8 The Hong Kong and 14,239 11.13 11.77 7.72 7.37 4.73 5.77
ALA-PK.TO 9 AltaGas Ltd. 9,426 10.86 10.86 9.72 2.56 15.87 13.30
UGI 10 UGI Corporation 7,288 10.55 10.05 4.32 4.21 - 6.80
NIMC 11 NiSource Inc. 6,111 248.75 260.83 38.57 39.49 51.74 27.25
IG.MI 12 Italgas S.p.A. 5,669 6.68 6.43 6.81 6.10 13.06 10.56
1083.HK 13 Towngas Smart Ener 5,361 5.08 4.86 6.11 5.52 4.06 2.99
ATO 14 Atmos Energy Corpo 4,703 22.64 19.72 15.20 13.38 41.28 20.45
002911.SZ 15 Foran Energy Group 4,654 19.33 16.88 14.37 12.86 21.34 16.29
601139.SS 16 Shenzhen Gas Corpo 4,277 14.44 14.24 10.04 9.61 15.45 14.31

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple10.6210.118.317.1714.0110.23
Full Range Median Multiple10.8610.868.447.3715.2010.56
Industry Multiple26.6726.8810.349.3217.5411.46
Market Implied Multiple6.976.975.715.147.677.55
Company (0384.HK) Multiple6.926.935.695.137.657.53
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue7647632,0622,2881,5341,558
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A17,13916,40121,48115,934
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A17,39616,85123,31516,452
(-) Net Debt6,4456,4456,4456,4456,4456,445
Winsorized Equity Value8,1087,70910,6949,95615,0369,489
Full Range Median Equity Value8,2918,28310,95110,40616,87010,007
(/) Shares Outstanding693693693693693693
Winsorized Fair Value$11.69$11.12$15.42$14.36$21.68$13.68
Full Range Median Fair Value$11.96$11.94$15.79$15.01$24.33$14.43
Current Price$7.67$7.67$7.67$7.67$7.67$7.67
Upside / Downside52.44%44.94%101.06%87.19%182.69%78.39%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$8.18$7.78$10.79$10.05$15.18$9.58
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY