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Multiples Valuation: Guangdong Investment Limited

Guangdong Investment Limited (0270.HK)

Industry: Regulated Water Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $7.79 — $22.60
Selected (Average) $15.94
Upside to Live 130.67%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $8.13 — $25.04
Selected (Average) $17.21
Upside to Live 149.03%
Live Price $6.91

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
SBSP3.SA 1 Companhia de Sanea 6,277 12.53 8.75 8.71 7.41 12.37 11.22
0371.HK 2 Beijing Enterprise 6,194 7.51 7.62 6.08 4.99 7.65 6.62
UU.L 3 United Utilities G 5,914 15.19 15.84 7.69 7.45 8.07 12.13
0807.HK 4 SIIC Environment H 5,769 3.70 3.65 8.10 7.72 11.29 11.38
0270.HK 5 Guangdong Investme 5,239 6.64 7.04 2.92 2.63 3.19 3.79
AWK 6 American Water Wor 5,070 24.41 22.00 14.59 13.29 17.24 20.70
071320.KS 7 Korea District Hea 2,734 3.44 1.88 5.90 4.83 14.69 7.34
WTRG 8 Essential Utilitie 2,380 15.57 12.75 13.37 11.50 26.74 16.59
0855.HK 9 China Water Affair 2,271 6.13 5.44 4.72 4.00 5.27 4.93
600323.SS 10 Grandblue Environm 1,830 11.70 10.19 14.43 12.91 12.77 16.92
CSMG3.SA 11 Companhia de Sanea 1,478 9.68 8.73 6.23 5.65 9.69 8.92
WTTR 12 Select Water Solut 1,410 54.99 54.99 6.57 6.57 - 44.55
000598.SZ 13 Chengdu Xingrong E 1,332 9.27 8.25 7.50 6.64 7.81 10.32
RXN 14 Zurn Water Solutio 1,295 39.39 29.73 79.60 92.10 36.13 58.34
SAPR11.SA 15 Companhia de Sanea 1,284 5.48 4.80 3.77 3.39 7.92 5.39
600461.SS 16 Jiangxi Hongcheng 1,137 9.43 8.37 6.62 5.94 9.36 9.20

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple9.438.376.626.579.5310.32
Full Range Median Multiple9.688.737.506.6410.4911.22
Industry Multiple15.2313.5312.9312.9613.3616.30
Market Implied Multiple6.997.423.042.753.333.96
Company (0270.HK) Multiple6.647.042.922.633.193.79
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue8257782,3132,5632,1141,779
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A15,31116,83620,13918,364
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A17,35617,02322,17819,965
(-) Net Debt1,2711,2711,2711,2711,2711,271
Winsorized Equity Value7,7826,50714,04015,56518,86817,093
Full Range Median Equity Value7,9886,78816,08515,75220,90718,694
(/) Shares Outstanding835835835835835835
Winsorized Fair Value$9.32$7.79$16.81$18.64$22.60$20.47
Full Range Median Fair Value$9.57$8.13$19.26$18.86$25.04$22.39
Current Price$6.91$6.91$6.91$6.91$6.91$6.91
Upside / Downside34.87%12.78%143.34%169.77%227.02%196.25%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$6.52$5.45$11.77$13.05$15.82$14.33
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUYBUYBUY