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Multiples Valuation: Keck Seng Investments (Hong Kong) Limited

Keck Seng Investments (Hong Kong) Limited (0184.HK)

Industry: Travel Lodging Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $24.37 — $40.59
Selected (Average) $33.04
Upside to Live 1,388.42%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $27.13 — $42.98
Selected (Average) $36.30
Upside to Live 1,534.97%
Live Price $2.22

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
ISRO.TA 27 Isrotel Ltd. 646 27.64 19.75 14.49 11.72 11.05 20.39
000524.SZ 28 Guangzhou Lingnan 631 115.09 115.09 48.00 48.00 96.85 70.41
POSADASA.MX 29 Grupo Posadas, S.A 616 31.94 31.94 10.76 10.76 21.10 18.75
SOND 30 Sonder Holdings In 589 - - - - - -
0069.HK 31 Shangri-La Asia Li 563 7.16 7.94 7.03 7.00 11.20 14.93
9722.T 32 Fujita Kanko Inc. 518 13.29 13.29 8.20 8.20 18.78 10.74
DANH.TA 33 Dan Hotels Ltd 456 - - 19.93 16.85 17.13 22.82
0184.HK 34 Keck Seng Investme 433 1.74 1.84 1.00 1.00 2.05 1.43
0078.HK 35 Regal Hotels Inter 416 - - - - - -
DUSIT.BK 36 Dusit Thani Public 342 - - 15.33 6.98 - 41.14
9708.T 37 Imperial Hotel, Lt 340 42.35 42.35 25.26 25.26 33.87 59.92
6547.T 38 Greens Co.,Ltd. 329 6.45 6.45 4.87 4.87 3.79 5.09
EIHOTEL.BO 39 EIH Limited 314 33.83 33.83 20.63 9.89 47.36 10.79
600054.SS 40 Huangshan Tourism 292 30.24 30.24 11.64 7.55 8.68 6.96
CHALET.BO 41 Chalet Hotels Limi 289 35.96 35.96 21.28 15.11 23.90 12.90
601007.SS 42 Jinling Hotel Corp 249 90.84 90.23 23.32 25.75 27.20 28.02

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple30.2430.2414.499.8917.9514.93
Full Range Median Multiple31.9431.9415.3310.7619.9418.75
Industry Multiple39.5338.8317.7515.2326.7424.83
Market Implied Multiple1.711.810.990.982.021.41
Company (0184.HK) Multiple1.741.841.001.002.051.43
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue57541241256187
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,8011,2371,0921,302
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,9051,3461,2121,635
(-) Net Debt262626262626
Winsorized Equity Value1,7151,6251,7751,2111,0661,277
Full Range Median Equity Value1,8111,7161,8791,3201,1861,609
(/) Shares Outstanding444444444444
Winsorized Fair Value$39.23$37.17$40.59$27.70$24.37$29.20
Full Range Median Fair Value$41.42$39.25$42.98$30.19$27.13$36.80
Current Price$2.22$2.22$2.22$2.22$2.22$2.22
Upside / Downside1,667.06%1,574.21%1,728.45%1,147.84%997.83%1,215.13%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$27.46$26.02$28.41$19.39$17.06$20.44
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY