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Multiples Valuation: Yuexiu Property Company Limited

Yuexiu Property Company Limited (0123.HK)

Industry: Real Estate - Development Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $1.80 — $4.64
Selected (Average) $3.45
Upside to Live -15.77%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $0.81 — $7.33
Selected (Average) $4.89
Upside to Live 19.21%
Live Price $4.10

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
0688.HK 5 China Overseas Lan 49,749 3.62 3.69 4.33 4.48 6.31 4.39
0960.HK 6 Longfor Group Hold 43,277 3.10 3.03 7.63 7.15 12.72 7.39
600048.SS 7 Poly Developments 42,950 - - 21.79 27.79 49.71 43.78
3900.HK 8 Greentown China Ho 40,638 9.51 11.05 5.57 5.00 5.94 5.33
000002.SZ 9 China Vanke Co., L 40,403 - - - - - -
1908.HK 10 C&D International 36,917 3.34 1.11 3.62 1.11 8.11 1.10
1918.HK 11 Sunac China Holdin 26,933 - - 17.15 15.21 - -
0123.HK 12 Yuexiu Property Co 23,405 4.62 4.82 6.53 5.46 6.30 7.78
0016.HK 13 Sun Hung Kai Prope 19,664 6.89 7.66 5.90 5.69 6.33 6.53
0813.HK 14 Shimao Group Holdi 15,745 - - - - - -
0817.HK 15 China Jinmao Holdi 15,060 - - 16.23 18.08 27.66 24.29
601155.SS 16 Seazen Holdings Co 14,690 66.28 108.74 9.52 9.22 15.91 19.93
0884.HK 17 CIFI Holdings (Gro 14,276 - - 21.42 23.16 - 26.33
002244.SZ 18 Hangzhou Binjiang 13,325 11.81 10.29 4.47 4.07 5.55 4.17
1113.HK 19 CK Asset Holdings 11,902 4.47 4.59 5.74 5.63 5.45 5.59
2772.HK 20 Zhongliang Holding 11,720 - - - - - -

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple4.044.145.825.666.335.59
Full Range Median Multiple5.686.136.776.427.226.53
Industry Multiple13.6318.7710.2810.5514.3713.53
Market Implied Multiple4.835.036.595.516.367.85
Company (0123.HK) Multiple4.624.826.535.466.307.78
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue4394211,5381,8401,5941,292
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A8,95010,42110,0997,218
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A10,40711,81211,5138,440
(-) Net Debt8,0198,0198,0198,0198,0198,019
Winsorized Equity Value1,7761,7459312,4022,080-801
Full Range Median Equity Value2,4932,5812,3893,7933,495421
(/) Shares Outstanding517517517517517517
Winsorized Fair Value$3.43$3.37$1.80$4.64$4.02$-1.55
Full Range Median Fair Value$4.82$4.99$4.62$7.33$6.75$0.81
Current Price$4.10$4.10$4.10$4.10$4.10$4.10
Upside / Downside-16.27%-17.76%-56.11%13.23%-1.95%-137.74%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$2.40$2.36$1.26$3.25$2.81$-1.08
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy