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Multiples Valuation: Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited

Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (0016.HK)

Industry: Real Estate - Development Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $54.99 — $94.83
Selected (Average) $76.12
Upside to Live -32.40%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $56.31 — $114.46
Selected (Average) $91.35
Upside to Live -18.87%
Live Price $112.60

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
0960.HK 6 Longfor Group Hold 43,277 3.10 3.03 7.63 7.15 12.72 7.39
600048.SS 7 Poly Developments 42,950 - - 21.79 27.79 49.71 43.78
3900.HK 8 Greentown China Ho 40,638 9.51 11.05 5.57 5.00 5.94 5.33
000002.SZ 9 China Vanke Co., L 40,403 - - - - - -
1908.HK 10 C&D International 36,917 3.34 1.11 3.62 1.11 8.11 1.10
1918.HK 11 Sunac China Holdin 26,933 - - 17.15 15.21 - -
0123.HK 12 Yuexiu Property Co 23,405 4.62 4.82 6.53 5.46 6.30 7.78
0016.HK 13 Sun Hung Kai Prope 19,664 6.89 7.66 5.90 5.69 6.33 6.53
0813.HK 14 Shimao Group Holdi 15,745 - - - - - -
0817.HK 15 China Jinmao Holdi 15,060 - - 16.23 18.08 27.66 24.29
601155.SS 16 Seazen Holdings Co 14,690 66.28 108.74 9.52 9.22 15.91 19.93
0884.HK 17 CIFI Holdings (Gro 14,276 - - 21.42 23.16 - 26.33
002244.SZ 18 Hangzhou Binjiang 13,325 11.81 10.29 4.47 4.07 5.55 4.17
1113.HK 19 CK Asset Holdings 11,902 4.47 4.59 5.74 5.63 5.45 5.59
2772.HK 20 Zhongliang Holding 11,720 - - - - - -
0119.HK 21 Poly Property Grou 11,646 4.43 4.76 5.31 4.86 5.97 4.91

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple4.454.686.145.556.305.59
Full Range Median Multiple4.544.797.086.397.217.39
Industry Multiple13.4418.5510.4110.5614.3313.69
Market Implied Multiple8.619.586.996.747.507.74
Company (0016.HK) Multiple6.897.665.905.696.336.53
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue4,8714,3787,7117,9977,1876,969
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A47,31344,36345,30338,940
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A54,62451,10051,79651,495
(-) Net Debt11,99211,99211,99211,99211,99211,992
Winsorized Equity Value21,67520,48135,32132,37133,31226,948
Full Range Median Equity Value22,12920,97242,63239,10939,80439,503
(/) Shares Outstanding372372372372372372
Winsorized Fair Value$58.20$54.99$94.83$86.91$89.44$72.35
Full Range Median Fair Value$59.41$56.31$114.46$105.00$106.87$106.06
Current Price$112.60$112.60$112.60$112.60$112.60$112.60
Upside / Downside-48.32%-51.16%-15.78%-22.81%-20.57%-35.74%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$40.74$38.49$66.38$60.84$62.61$50.65
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy