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Multiples Valuation: Shandong Hi-Speed Road and Bridge Group Co., Ltd.

Shandong Hi-Speed Road and Bridge Group Co., Ltd. (000498.SZ)

Industry: Engineering & Construction Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $0.09 — $14.67
Selected (Average) $8.00
Upside to Live 30.16%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $0.56 — $19.38
Selected (Average) $10.68
Upside to Live 73.64%
Live Price $6.15

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
MTZ 29 MasTec, Inc. 13,762 49.95 49.31 18.32 17.07 13.37 25.26
600502.SS 30 Anhui Construction 12,428 6.58 5.83 17.17 16.11 35.23 27.95
MGNS.L 31 Morgan Sindall Gro 12,169 8.10 4.11 4.80 3.21 5.29 3.42
002761.SZ 32 Zhejiang Construct 11,678 48.24 65.97 38.58 49.61 - 53.06
KIE.L 33 Kier Group plc 10,676 9.88 8.17 3.11 2.80 3.40 3.66
ARCAD.AS 34 Arcadis N.V. 10,271 9.83 8.30 5.32 4.48 13.74 6.77
002060.SZ 35 Guangdong Construc 10,005 13.22 10.16 10.95 9.27 17.46 15.46
000498.SZ 36 Shandong Hi-Speed 9,938 4.18 3.47 11.01 9.03 15.77 10.62
DEME.BR 37 DEME Group N.V. 9,427 5.43 4.81 2.39 2.15 4.11 4.94
LTOD.L 38 Larsen & Toubro Li 9,181 60.91 64.43 27.50 28.68 18.24 55.35
0QNT.L 39 Implenia AG 9,153 4.34 3.87 3.84 3.56 1.78 2.39
006360.KS 40 GS Engineering & C 8,640 35.65 53.66 9.07 9.46 8.47 17.78
600820.SS 41 Shanghai Tunnel En 8,562 7.89 7.56 8.13 7.30 17.19 12.72
FIX 42 Comfort Systems US 8,323 34.78 24.37 23.61 17.21 18.94 18.06
KBR 43 KBR, Inc. 8,060 15.97 15.97 9.38 6.94 10.97 7.82
MAIRE.MI 44 Maire Tecnimont S. 7,783 15.57 15.57 8.17 8.17 8.85 9.49

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple9.888.308.177.309.919.49
Full Range Median Multiple13.2210.169.078.1712.1712.72
Industry Multiple21.7622.8112.6912.4012.6517.61
Market Implied Multiple4.193.4811.019.0415.7810.62
Company (000498.SZ) Multiple4.183.4711.019.0315.7710.62
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue323389632770441655
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A5,1635,6234,3716,216
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A5,7286,2905,3668,331
(-) Net Debt5,6045,6045,6045,6045,6045,604
Winsorized Equity Value3,1903,231-44119-1,233612
Full Range Median Equity Value4,2693,955124686-2382,727
(/) Shares Outstanding220220220220220220
Winsorized Fair Value$14.48$14.67$-2.00$0.09$-5.60$2.78
Full Range Median Fair Value$19.38$17.95$0.56$3.11$-1.08$12.38
Current Price$6.15$6.15$6.15$6.15$6.15$6.15
Upside / Downside135.52%138.55%-132.58%-98.62%-191.05%-54.81%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$10.14$10.27$-1.40$0.06$-3.92$1.95
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy