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AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited

ID: 2357.HK SECTOR: Industrials INDUSTRY: Aerospace & Defense
3.69
+0.09 (2.50%)
Ref: 2026-04-20

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $16.22 - $41.02 $23.80
Multi-Stage DDM $4.03 - $4.41 $4.22
Blended Fair Value $14.01
Stock Price$3.51

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS 0.3190.1230.1390.2150.1040.0240.0300.0200.0180.018
YoY % 159.43%-11.70%-35.40%107.76%328.82%-19.20%49.67%8.98%-0.02%-8.35%
Yield 9.09%3.50%3.97%6.14%2.96%0.69%0.85%0.57%0.52%0.52%

CAGRValue
5 Year67.50%
10 Year31.89%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $16.22 - $41.02 $23.80

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 320.11 320.11 320.11
(=) Cash Required 64.02 40.01 24.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.22 0.24 0.25
LTM Dividend per Share 0.319 0.319 0.319
(=) Adjusted Dividend 0.538 0.559 0.572

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 320.11 340.92363.08386.68411.81438.58
Projected Dividends 372.56 85.23148.86220.40300.62394.72

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 80.87 81.63 82.40
Year 2 PV 128.37 130.81 133.28
Year 3 PV 172.73 177.69 182.74
Year 4 PV 214.11 222.34 230.81
Year 5 PV 255.50 267.84 280.65
TV PV 3,859.05 4,045.44 4,238.97
Equity Value 4,710.62 4,925.76 5,148.85
Fair Value $4.03 $4.22 $4.41

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SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
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PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
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GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
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ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
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CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
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BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
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