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AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Company Ltd.

ID: 000768.SZ SECTOR: Industrials INDUSTRY: Aerospace & Defense
23.78
-0.50 (-2.06%)
Ref: 2026-04-24

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $9.56 - $18.16 $12.91
Multi-Stage DDM $5.71 - $6.25 $5.97
Blended Fair Value $9.44
Stock Price$24.41

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.1250.1150.1000.0850.0850.1710.1200.1170.0780.135
YoY % 9.29%14.31%18.02%0.00%-50.27%42.75%2.75%49.39%-42.18%-16.39%
Yield 0.51%0.47%0.41%0.35%0.35%0.70%0.49%0.48%0.32%0.55%

CAGRValue
5 Year-6.02%
10 Year-2.50%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 4.03% to 6.03% 5.03%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $9.56 - $18.16 $12.91

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 168.47 168.47 168.47
(=) Cash Required 33.69 21.06 12.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share 0.33 0.36 0.38
LTM Dividend per Share 0.125 0.125 0.125
(=) Adjusted Dividend 0.457 0.488 0.509

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 168.47 176.94185.84195.18205.00215.30
Projected Dividends 50.92 44.2476.19111.25149.65193.77

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 41.97 42.37 42.77
Year 2 PV 65.69 66.95 68.24
Year 3 PV 87.15 89.69 92.28
Year 4 PV 106.53 110.68 114.96
Year 5 PV 125.34 131.48 137.86
TV PV 1,893.21 1,985.97 2,082.33
Equity Value 2,319.89 2,427.15 2,538.44
Fair Value $5.71 $5.97 $6.25

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