Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

State Street Corporation (STT-PD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$506.75 - $2,015.95$1,372.80
Multi-Stage$296.04 - $324.29$309.90
Blended Fair Value$841.35
Current Price$116.01
Upside625.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.12%6.72%3.543.323.332.583.053.192.842.632.482.24
YoY Growth--6.49%-0.21%29.26%-15.41%-4.41%12.32%7.81%6.22%10.38%21.52%
Dividend Yield--3.95%4.30%4.40%2.96%3.62%5.98%4.20%2.64%3.11%3.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,981.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)998.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,983.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)596.20372.63223.58
Cash Retained (M)1,983.001,983.001,983.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-596.20-372.63-223.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,386.801,610.381,759.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)291.95291.95291.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.755.526.03
LTM Dividend per Share3.423.423.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.755.526.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.178.939.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.41%6.41%6.41%
Growth Rate4.72%5.72%6.72%
Fair Value$506.75$1,372.80$2,015.95
Upside / Downside336.82%1,083.35%1,637.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,981.003,151.553,331.863,522.493,724.023,937.084,055.20
Payout Ratio33.48%44.78%56.09%67.39%78.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)998.001,411.361,868.752,373.862,930.653,543.383,751.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.41%6.41%6.41%
Growth Rate4.72%5.72%6.72%
Year 1 PV (M)1,313.801,326.351,338.89
Year 2 PV (M)1,619.331,650.411,681.78
Year 3 PV (M)1,914.841,970.222,026.66
Year 4 PV (M)2,200.562,285.832,373.55
Year 5 PV (M)2,476.742,597.282,722.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,903.1580,645.7584,532.66
Equity Value (M)86,428.4490,475.8494,676.00
Shares Outstanding (M)291.95291.95291.95
Fair Value$296.04$309.90$324.29
Upside / Downside155.19%167.14%179.54%

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