Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. (ESQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$153.85 - $500.67$249.43
Multi-Stage$98.55 - $107.79$103.09
Blended Fair Value$176.26
Current Price$102.06
Upside72.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.560.430.250.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--30.30%73.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.75%0.91%0.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)43.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.826.143.68
Cash Retained (M)43.5643.5643.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.82-6.14-3.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.7437.4239.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.598.598.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.934.364.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.934.364.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.575.005.29
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$153.85$249.43$500.67
Upside / Downside50.75%144.40%390.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49.1152.3055.7059.3263.1767.2869.30
Payout Ratio11.29%27.03%42.77%58.52%74.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.5414.1423.8234.7146.9160.5564.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)12.8913.0113.14
Year 2 PV (M)19.8120.1920.57
Year 3 PV (M)26.3227.0727.84
Year 4 PV (M)32.4433.6834.97
Year 5 PV (M)38.1840.0241.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)717.21751.85787.81
Equity Value (M)846.84885.83926.26
Shares Outstanding (M)8.598.598.59
Fair Value$98.55$103.09$107.79
Upside / Downside-3.44%1.00%5.62%

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