Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Neutech Group Limited (9616.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.52 - $33.47$20.23
Multi-Stage$9.80 - $10.68$10.23
Blended Fair Value$15.23
Current Price$3.20
Upside375.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS127.62%0.00%0.340.150.130.020.000.010.220.040.000.00
YoY Growth--117.73%22.07%512.88%2,740.47%-86.79%-97.53%413.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--11.45%4.94%4.28%0.69%0.02%0.10%4.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)392.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)216.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)176.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)78.4349.0229.41
Cash Retained (M)176.06176.06176.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-78.43-49.02-29.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)97.63127.04146.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)641.73641.73641.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.200.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.200.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.530.57
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.52$20.23$33.47
Upside / Downside322.43%532.10%946.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)392.13417.62444.76473.67504.46537.25553.37
Payout Ratio55.10%62.08%69.06%76.04%83.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)216.07259.26307.16360.18418.80483.52511.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)234.94237.17239.40
Year 2 PV (M)252.24257.04261.89
Year 3 PV (M)268.04275.73283.57
Year 4 PV (M)282.42293.29304.46
Year 5 PV (M)295.48309.75324.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,953.195,192.445,440.83
Equity Value (M)6,286.326,565.426,854.72
Shares Outstanding (M)641.73641.73641.73
Fair Value$9.80$10.23$10.68
Upside / Downside206.12%219.71%233.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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