Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Keck Seng Investments (Hong Kong) Limited (0184.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.44 - $21.80$17.20
Multi-Stage$88.42 - $97.98$93.10
Blended Fair Value$55.15
Current Price$2.26
Upside2,340.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.46%-3.20%0.130.080.040.000.050.160.160.150.150.15
YoY Growth--62.50%100.00%0.00%-100.00%-70.97%-3.13%6.67%0.00%0.00%-16.67%
Dividend Yield--6.44%4.10%1.74%0.00%1.53%3.41%3.25%2.14%2.68%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)441.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)105.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)335.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)88.2555.1633.09
Cash Retained (M)335.80335.80335.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-88.25-55.16-33.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)247.55280.64302.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)340.20340.20340.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.730.820.89
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.730.820.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.041.131.20
WACC / Discount Rate2.62%2.62%2.62%
Growth Rate-4.73%-3.73%-2.73%
Fair Value$13.44$17.20$21.80
Upside / Downside494.87%660.95%864.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)441.27424.80408.94393.68378.99364.84375.79
Payout Ratio23.90%37.12%50.34%63.56%76.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)105.46157.68205.86250.22290.99328.36347.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.62%2.62%2.62%
Growth Rate-4.73%-3.73%-2.73%
Year 1 PV (M)152.06153.66155.25
Year 2 PV (M)191.44195.48199.56
Year 3 PV (M)224.40231.54238.83
Year 4 PV (M)251.64262.38273.45
Year 5 PV (M)273.84288.51303.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,988.7330,542.4432,162.07
Equity Value (M)30,082.1131,674.0133,332.98
Shares Outstanding (M)340.20340.20340.20
Fair Value$88.42$93.10$97.98
Upside / Downside3,812.60%4,019.65%4,235.42%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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