Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$403.07 - $1,275.40$1,195.15
Multi-Stage$223.36 - $244.33$233.66
Blended Fair Value$714.40
Current Price$83.53
Upside755.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.07%8.60%6.346.316.014.043.963.753.543.263.112.97
YoY Growth--0.50%5.04%48.79%1.87%5.64%6.08%8.66%4.84%4.67%6.72%
Dividend Yield--5.77%4.28%3.10%1.88%2.33%4.02%3.09%3.11%2.89%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,502.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,395.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)107.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,100.40687.75412.65
Cash Retained (M)107.00107.00107.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,100.40-687.75-412.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-993.40-580.75-305.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
LTM Dividend per Share6.346.346.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.175.665.98
WACC / Discount Rate5.97%5.97%5.97%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Fair Value$403.07$1,195.15$1,275.40
Upside / Downside382.54%1,330.80%1,426.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,502.005,811.836,139.106,484.806,849.977,235.707,452.78
Payout Ratio98.06%96.44%94.83%93.22%91.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,395.005,605.175,821.906,045.276,275.336,512.136,893.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.97%5.97%5.97%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Year 1 PV (M)5,239.135,289.205,339.27
Year 2 PV (M)5,086.345,184.035,282.65
Year 3 PV (M)4,936.595,079.495,225.12
Year 4 PV (M)4,789.814,975.565,166.67
Year 5 PV (M)4,645.964,872.265,107.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)165,385.22173,440.99181,807.65
Equity Value (M)190,083.05198,841.53207,928.66
Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
Fair Value$223.36$233.66$244.33
Upside / Downside167.41%179.73%192.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 97 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
3706.TWMiTAC Holdings Corporation1.03%$0.9320.99%
601231.SSUniversal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.1.03%$0.3142.44%
603029.SSShandong Swan CottonIndustrial Machinery Stock Co.,Ltd.1.03%$0.1928.04%
6719.TWuPI Semiconductor Corp.1.03%$1.9395.83%
8869.KLPress Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad1.03%$0.0733.32%
BBarrick Mining Corporation1.03%$0.4521.51%
ELHA.ATElvalhalcor Hellenic Copper and Aluminium Industry S.A.1.03%$0.0411.81%
000548.SZHunan Investment Group Co., Ltd.1.02%$0.0659.94%
000969.SZAdvanced Technology & Materials Co., Ltd.1.02%$0.2171.26%
002730.SZDianguang Explosion-proof Technology Co., Ltd.1.02%$0.1558.37%
104830.KQWONIK Materials Co.,Ltd.1.02%$349.9412.91%
1439.TWAscent Development Co Ltd1.02%$0.3010.76%
1523.HKPlover Bay Technologies Limited1.02%$0.0692.02%
251270.KSNetmarble Corporation1.02%$502.9938.36%
301606.SZUgreen Group Ltd1.02%$0.6040.99%
600523.SSGuizhou Guihang Automotive Components Co.,Ltd1.02%$0.1636.20%
600986.SSZhewen Interactive Group Co., Ltd.1.02%$0.0892.78%
603004.SSZhejiang Dragon Technology Co., Ltd.1.02%$0.2431.73%
603041.SSJiangsu Maysta Chemical Co., Ltd.1.02%$0.1270.45%
603239.SSZhejiang Xiantong Rubber&Plastic Co.,Ltd1.02%$0.2129.27%
603301.SSZhende Medical Co., Ltd.1.02%$0.7268.19%
8476.HKOcean One Holding Ltd.1.02%$0.0426.91%
9168.TRise Consulting Group, Inc.1.02%$8.6914.15%
9570.SRTam Development Co.1.02%$0.927.62%
GTXGarrett Motion Inc.1.02%$0.1811.04%
NAVNETEDUL.BONavneet Education Limited1.02%$1.5115.58%
002294.SZShenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd.1.01%$0.5082.89%
002423.SZCOFCO Capital Holdings Co., Ltd.1.01%$0.1228.45%
002965.SZLucky Harvest Co., Ltd.1.01%$0.4143.96%
086900.KQMedy-Tox Inc.1.01%$1,238.7136.92%
300771.SZShenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co., Ltd.1.01%$0.1649.28%
7733.TOlympus Corporation1.01%$19.9620.09%
ALPOU.PAPoulaillon S.A.1.01%$0.063.34%
ELG.DEElmos Semiconductor SE1.01%$1.0013.84%
IIA.VIImmofinanz AG1.01%$0.1717.54%
000922.SZHarbin Electric Corporation Jiamusi Electric Machine CO.,Ltd1.00%$0.1438.72%
002611.SZGuangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology Co., Ltd.1.00%$0.1933.91%
003001.SZZhongyan Technology Co., Ltd.1.00%$0.2071.99%
064760.KQTokai Carbon Korea Co., Ltd.1.00%$1,458.9923.09%
0ROY.LDavide Campari-Milano N.V.1.00%$0.1229.93%
1696.HKSisram Medical Ltd1.00%$0.0445.32%
300662.SZBeijing Career International Co., Ltd.1.00%$0.2517.33%
603950.SSXiangyang Changyuandonggu Industry Co., Ltd.1.00%$0.2926.83%
688087.SSShandong Intco Recycling Resources Co., Ltd.1.00%$0.3116.87%
9546.SRNaba Alsaha Medical Services Company1.00%$0.508.66%
BELL.JKPT Trisula Textile Industries Tbk1.00%$0.6981.83%
EPEN.STEpendion AB1.00%$1.1226.30%
IATR.ATAthens Medical C.S.A.1.00%$0.0258.56%
002801.SZHangzhou Weiguang Electronic Co.,Ltd.0.99%$0.3528.52%
003090.KSDaewoong Co., Ltd.0.99%$211.1210.55%