Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$931.37 - $1,097.32$1,028.35
Multi-Stage$215.00 - $235.71$225.16
Blended Fair Value$626.75
Current Price$97.01
Upside546.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.63%6.76%0.400.370.360.340.320.300.320.290.260.24
YoY Growth--7.75%4.23%4.84%5.98%5.41%-6.33%10.23%12.57%9.65%14.70%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.30%0.28%0.31%0.28%0.59%0.72%0.72%0.99%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)403.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)372.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.6450.4030.24
Cash Retained (M)372.50372.50372.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.64-50.40-30.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)291.86322.10342.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.414.835.10
WACC / Discount Rate5.62%5.62%5.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$931.37$1,028.35$1,097.32
Upside / Downside860.08%960.04%1,031.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)403.20429.41457.32487.05518.70552.42568.99
Payout Ratio7.61%24.09%40.57%57.05%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.70103.45185.53277.84381.37497.18526.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.62%5.62%5.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)97.0297.9498.86
Year 2 PV (M)163.19166.30169.44
Year 3 PV (M)229.21235.79242.50
Year 4 PV (M)295.07306.42318.09
Year 5 PV (M)360.79378.21396.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,565.5115,269.0315,999.48
Equity Value (M)15,710.8016,453.7017,224.68
Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
Fair Value$215.00$225.16$235.71
Upside / Downside121.62%132.10%142.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 96 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
0053.HKGuoco Group Limited1.06%$0.7324.48%
0QRA.LBufab AB (publ)1.06%$1.0533.67%
1478.HKQ Technology (Group) Company Limited1.06%$0.0916.75%
300547.SZSichuan Chuanhuan Technology Co.,Ltd.1.06%$0.4246.91%
3605.TWACES Electronics Co., Ltd.1.06%$0.6716.60%
600862.SSAVIC Aviation High-Technology Co., Ltd.1.06%$0.2533.36%
600895.SSShanghai Zhangjiang Hi-Tech Park Development Co., Ltd.1.06%$0.4766.35%
601989.SSChina Shipbuilding Industry Company Limited1.06%$0.0548.46%
603823.SSLily Group Co., Ltd.1.06%$0.1639.52%
603856.SSShandong Donghong Pipe Industry Co., Ltd.1.06%$0.1321.43%
603909.SSHolsin Engineering Consulting Group Co.,Ltd.1.06%$0.1228.69%
688015.SSTraffic Control Technology Co., Ltd.1.06%$0.2432.90%
SPLTN.STInvestment AB Spiltan1.06%$2.197.20%
002452.SZChanggao Electric Group Co., Ltd.1.05%$0.0919.43%
002632.SZDaoming Optics&Chemical Co.,Ltd1.05%$0.1339.58%
002864.SZShaanxi Panlong Pharmaceutical Group Limited By Share Ltd1.05%$0.3228.23%
006800.KSMirae Asset Securities Co. Ltd.1.05%$257.6512.18%
090430.KSAmorepacific Corporation1.05%$1,336.4358.38%
1230.HKYashili International Holdings Ltd1.05%$0.0130.51%
136490.KSSunjin Co.,Ltd.1.05%$100.043.41%
300543.SZShenzhen Longood Intelligent Electric Co.,LTD1.05%$0.1299.57%
301580.SZAidite Qinhuangdao Technology Co Ltd1.05%$0.4727.41%
484870.KSMNC Solution Co., Ltd.1.05%$1,480.2735.83%
603017.SSARTS Group Co., Ltd1.05%$0.1279.10%
603067.SSHubei Zhenhua Chemical Co.,Ltd.1.05%$0.3031.09%
603358.SSHuada Automotive Technology Corp.,Ltd1.05%$0.5359.33%
603929.SSL&K Engineering (Suzhou) Co.,Ltd.1.05%$1.0033.37%
BRIS.JKPT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk1.05%$22.7814.07%
EREGL.ISEregli Demir ve Çelik Fabrikalari T.A.S.1.05%$0.2633.82%
TECKTeck Resources Limited1.05%$0.5119.75%
002957.SZShenzhen Colibri Technologies Co., Ltd.1.04%$0.2242.63%
006280.KSGC Biopharma Corp.1.04%$1,649.8533.43%
0N08.LPanoro Energy ASA1.04%$0.2168.53%
3733.TSoftware Service, Inc.1.04%$140.0111.99%
4307.TNomura Research Institute, Ltd.1.04%$62.8935.46%
600100.SSTsinghua Tongfang Co.,Ltd.1.04%$0.0978.90%
600863.SSInner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Corporation Limited1.04%$0.0514.74%
603989.SSHunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd1.04%$0.1731.43%
605118.SSXiamen Leading Optics Co., Ltd.1.04%$0.3146.29%
6720.TWOMajor-Power Technology Co., Ltd.1.04%$1.2720.76%
6808.HKSun Art Retail Group Limited1.04%$0.0242.72%
SSC.BKSermsuk Public Company Limited1.04%$0.5234.17%
000779.SZGansu Engineering Consulting Group Co., Ltd.1.03%$0.0818.98%
0A0H.ILBeijer Ref AB (publ)1.03%$1.3828.57%
103590.KSIljin Electric Co.,Ltd1.03%$600.4233.30%
2614.TWEastern Media International Corporation1.03%$0.2311.71%
2GB.DE2G Energy AG1.03%$0.3715.61%
300888.SZWinner Medical Co., Ltd.1.03%$0.3925.98%
301149.SZShandong Longhua New Material Co., Ltd.1.03%$0.1134.91%
319660.KQPSK Inc.1.03%$400.0014.97%