Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Valid Soluções S.A. (VLID3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.30 - $41.61$34.00
Multi-Stage$43.13 - $47.29$45.17
Blended Fair Value$39.59
Current Price$21.15
Upside87.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.25%-3.03%0.311.240.300.030.560.540.130.320.310.39
YoY Growth---74.77%313.71%1,069.87%-95.45%4.80%300.06%-57.60%2.61%-20.20%-9.10%
Dividend Yield--1.33%6.73%3.10%0.26%6.18%5.87%0.71%1.78%1.52%1.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)239.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)106.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)132.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.9129.9417.96
Cash Retained (M)132.60132.60132.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.91-29.94-17.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)84.70102.66114.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)79.0679.0679.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.071.301.45
LTM Dividend per Share1.351.351.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.071.301.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.422.652.80
WACC / Discount Rate8.42%8.42%8.42%
Growth Rate-0.42%0.58%1.58%
Fair Value$27.30$34.00$41.61
Upside / Downside29.06%60.76%96.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)239.53240.91242.30243.70245.11246.52253.92
Payout Ratio44.64%53.71%62.78%71.86%80.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)106.93129.40152.13175.11198.36221.87234.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.42%8.42%8.42%
Growth Rate-0.42%0.58%1.58%
Year 1 PV (M)118.17119.35120.54
Year 2 PV (M)126.86129.42132.01
Year 3 PV (M)133.35137.41141.54
Year 4 PV (M)137.93143.56149.35
Year 5 PV (M)140.89148.10155.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,752.172,893.163,039.88
Equity Value (M)3,409.363,571.003,738.94
Shares Outstanding (M)79.0679.0679.06
Fair Value$43.13$45.17$47.29
Upside / Downside103.90%113.57%123.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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