Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sanok Rubber Company Spólka Akcyjna (SNK.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$211.51 - $249.24$233.56
Multi-Stage$158.34 - $173.82$165.93
Blended Fair Value$199.75
Current Price$22.50
Upside787.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.20%-1.28%1.181.230.001.060.001.063.173.801.062.80
YoY Growth---4.22%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-66.67%-16.67%260.00%-62.26%108.96%
Dividend Yield--5.62%5.83%0.00%7.92%0.00%11.49%12.24%10.39%1.76%4.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.444.022.41
Cash Retained (M)2.212.212.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.44-4.02-2.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4.23-1.82-0.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.4425.4425.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.07-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.181.181.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.07-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.011.111.17
WACC / Discount Rate-0.18%-0.18%-0.18%
Growth Rate4.53%5.53%6.53%
Fair Value$211.51$233.56$249.24
Upside / Downside840.06%938.03%1,007.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.1833.9535.8337.8139.9042.1043.37
Payout Ratio93.14%92.51%91.89%91.26%90.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.9731.4132.9234.5036.1637.8940.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.18%-0.18%-0.18%
Growth Rate4.53%5.53%6.53%
Year 1 PV (M)31.1731.4731.77
Year 2 PV (M)32.4233.0433.67
Year 3 PV (M)33.7134.6935.69
Year 4 PV (M)35.0636.4237.82
Year 5 PV (M)36.4638.2340.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,859.424,047.604,243.05
Equity Value (M)4,028.234,221.454,422.07
Shares Outstanding (M)25.4425.4425.44
Fair Value$158.34$165.93$173.82
Upside / Downside603.73%637.49%672.53%

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