Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Krynica Vitamin S.A. (KVT.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.97 - $29.62$21.57
Multi-Stage$15.87 - $17.36$16.60
Blended Fair Value$19.08
Current Price$10.20
Upside87.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.200.001.472.240.660.240.170.740.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%-100.00%-34.38%239.40%175.03%41.14%-77.02%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.90%0.00%10.14%11.73%15.75%4.36%2.88%10.36%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.591.620.97
Cash Retained (M)9.669.669.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.59-1.62-0.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.078.048.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.2512.2512.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.580.660.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.580.660.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.930.98
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate3.50%4.50%5.50%
Fair Value$15.97$21.57$29.62
Upside / Downside56.59%111.44%190.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.9713.5614.1714.8015.4716.1716.65
Payout Ratio25.50%38.40%51.30%64.20%77.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.315.217.279.5011.9314.5515.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate3.50%4.50%5.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4.734.784.82
Year 2 PV (M)6.006.126.24
Year 3 PV (M)7.137.347.55
Year 4 PV (M)8.138.458.78
Year 5 PV (M)9.029.469.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)159.37167.22175.37
Equity Value (M)194.38203.37212.69
Shares Outstanding (M)12.2512.2512.25
Fair Value$15.87$16.60$17.36
Upside / Downside55.54%62.73%70.19%

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