Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Kearny Financial Corp. (KRNY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.51 - $14.67$10.34
Multi-Stage$14.38 - $15.78$15.07
Blended Fair Value$12.71
Current Price$6.57
Upside93.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.76%0.00%0.440.440.450.490.460.380.550.330.130.11
YoY Growth--0.25%-3.28%-7.15%7.14%18.77%-30.58%68.99%148.14%15.66%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.70%6.39%6.55%4.60%3.67%5.33%4.25%2.40%0.86%0.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.903.692.21
Cash Retained (M)1.771.771.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.90-3.69-2.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4.13-1.92-0.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.7662.7662.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate5.80%5.80%5.80%
Growth Rate0.76%1.76%2.76%
Fair Value$7.51$10.34$14.67
Upside / Downside14.26%57.42%123.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29.4930.0130.5331.0731.6232.1733.14
Payout Ratio93.99%93.20%92.40%91.60%90.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.7227.9728.2128.4628.7128.9530.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.80%5.80%5.80%
Growth Rate0.76%1.76%2.76%
Year 1 PV (M)26.1726.4326.69
Year 2 PV (M)24.7125.2025.70
Year 3 PV (M)23.3324.0324.75
Year 4 PV (M)22.0222.9123.82
Year 5 PV (M)20.7921.8422.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)785.52825.28866.64
Equity Value (M)902.54945.70990.53
Shares Outstanding (M)62.7662.7662.76
Fair Value$14.38$15.07$15.78
Upside / Downside118.88%129.34%140.22%

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