Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - SpecialtySector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.63 - $404.91$154.19
Multi-Stage$60.23 - $65.73$62.93
Blended Fair Value$108.56
Current Price$46.61
Upside132.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.11%5.33%3.003.012.782.290.832.131.991.911.550.91
YoY Growth---0.39%8.19%21.61%174.99%-60.87%7.03%3.98%23.58%70.16%-49.05%
Dividend Yield--5.89%6.61%5.34%4.88%1.96%7.67%5.13%5.71%4.63%2.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)775.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)638.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)136.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)155.0196.8858.13
Cash Retained (M)136.26136.26136.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-155.01-96.88-58.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)-18.7539.3878.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)277.06277.06277.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.070.140.28
LTM Dividend per Share2.312.312.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.070.140.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate5.11%6.11%7.11%
Fair Value$87.63$154.19$404.91
Upside / Downside88.00%230.81%768.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)775.03822.42872.70926.06982.691,042.781,074.06
Payout Ratio82.42%83.94%85.45%86.97%88.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)638.77690.30745.74805.38869.52938.50993.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate5.11%6.11%7.11%
Year 1 PV (M)634.32640.36646.39
Year 2 PV (M)629.70641.74653.89
Year 3 PV (M)624.91642.92661.26
Year 4 PV (M)619.97643.90668.52
Year 5 PV (M)614.89644.70675.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,563.6314,221.2114,904.05
Equity Value (M)16,687.4217,434.8218,209.76
Shares Outstanding (M)277.06277.06277.06
Fair Value$60.23$62.93$65.73
Upside / Downside29.22%35.01%41.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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