Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

BayCom Corp (BCML)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.71 - $156.83$83.38
Multi-Stage$45.97 - $50.38$48.13
Blended Fair Value$65.76
Current Price$28.75
Upside128.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.310.330.180.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---7.20%80.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.21%1.60%1.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.642.901.74
Cash Retained (M)19.2619.2619.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.64-2.90-1.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.6316.3617.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.0511.0511.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.321.481.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.321.481.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.681.841.94
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate3.94%4.94%5.94%
Fair Value$52.71$83.38$156.83
Upside / Downside83.33%190.03%445.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23.1924.3425.5426.8028.1229.5130.40
Payout Ratio16.94%31.55%46.16%60.78%75.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.937.6811.7916.2921.2026.5628.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.25%7.25%7.25%
Growth Rate3.94%4.94%5.94%
Year 1 PV (M)7.097.167.23
Year 2 PV (M)10.0610.2510.45
Year 3 PV (M)12.8313.2013.58
Year 4 PV (M)15.4216.0316.64
Year 5 PV (M)17.8418.7219.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)444.61466.42489.07
Equity Value (M)507.86531.78556.60
Shares Outstanding (M)11.0511.0511.05
Fair Value$45.97$48.13$50.38
Upside / Downside59.89%67.42%75.23%

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