Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Arch Resources, Inc. (ARCH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: CoalSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$298.12 - $1,296.83$518.02
Multi-Stage$188.05 - $205.33$196.53
Blended Fair Value$357.28
Current Price$138.16
Upside158.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS45.82%23.25%11.1324.640.210.451.631.691.320.000.000.11
YoY Growth---54.84%11,816.24%-53.55%-72.72%-3.35%28.31%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-91.67%
Dividend Yield--6.98%18.74%0.15%1.07%5.65%1.84%1.43%0.00%0.00%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)179.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)91.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.8922.4313.46
Cash Retained (M)88.1788.1788.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.89-22.43-13.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.2865.7474.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.5218.5218.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.823.554.03
LTM Dividend per Share4.934.934.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.823.554.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.758.488.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$298.12$518.02$1,296.83
Upside / Downside115.78%274.94%838.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)179.45191.12203.54216.77230.86245.86253.24
Payout Ratio50.87%58.69%66.52%74.35%82.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)91.28112.17135.39161.16189.70221.28234.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)102.66103.63104.60
Year 2 PV (M)113.40115.56117.74
Year 3 PV (M)123.53127.07130.69
Year 4 PV (M)133.07138.19143.45
Year 5 PV (M)142.05148.92156.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,868.273,006.803,150.64
Equity Value (M)3,482.973,640.173,803.16
Shares Outstanding (M)18.5218.5218.52
Fair Value$188.05$196.53$205.33
Upside / Downside36.11%42.25%48.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 94 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
AKVA.OLAKVA group ASA1.13%$1.0021.19%
CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd.1.13%$0.8418.03%
000698.SZShenyang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.1.12%$0.0431.22%
000887.SZAnhui Zhongding Sealing Parts Co., Ltd.1.12%$0.2622.74%
002019.SZYifan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.1.12%$0.1339.99%
002489.SZYotrio Group Co., Ltd.1.12%$0.0414.30%
002545.SZQingdao East Steel Tower Stock Co.Ltd1.12%$0.2127.84%
002876.SZShenzhen Sunnypol Optoelectronics Co.,Ltd.1.12%$0.2796.20%
1133.HKHarbin Electric Company Limited1.12%$0.2013.64%
2081.SRAlkhorayef Water & Power Technologies1.12%$1.5020.25%
300014.SZEVE Energy Co., Ltd.1.12%$0.7443.77%
600452.SSChongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial Co., Ltd.1.12%$0.1141.35%
600498.SSFiberhome Telecommunication Technologies Co., Ltd.1.12%$0.3651.86%
603290.SSStarPower Semiconductor Ltd.1.12%$1.0855.22%
603379.SSZhejiang Sanmei Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.1.12%$0.6823.00%
688077.SSEarth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co.,Ltd.1.12%$0.3480.86%
688113.SSJiangsu Liance Electromechanical Technology Co., Ltd.1.12%$0.4427.68%
9697.TCapcom Co., Ltd.1.12%$40.8030.63%
JLJ-Long Group Limited1.12%$0.0710.02%
MREI.JKPT Maskapai Reasuransi Indonesia Tbk1.12%$13.567.63%
RRRP3.SA3R Petroleum Óleo e Gás S.A.1.12%$0.205.90%
RSGK.JKPT Kedoya Adyaraya Tbk1.12%$11.0030.42%
TKBP.SWThurgauer Kantonalbank1.12%$1.8211.49%
001203.SZInner Mongolia Dazhong Mining Co., Ltd.1.11%$0.3473.27%
002928.SZChina Express Airlines Co.,LTD1.11%$0.1226.84%
002971.SZHubei Heyuan Gas Co.,Ltd.1.11%$0.3396.40%
052690.KSKEPCO Engineering & Construction Company, Inc.1.11%$998.7236.59%
0QJY.LSchaffner Holding AG1.11%$5.5222.35%
0ROQ.LComet Holding AG1.11%$2.5034.42%
0Y4Q.LWillis Towers Watson Public Limited Company1.11%$3.5816.92%
600817.SSYutong Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd.1.11%$0.1323.44%
601127.SSSeres Group Co.,Ltd.1.11%$1.3530.47%
603228.SSShenzhen Kinwong Electronic Co., Ltd.1.11%$0.8162.37%
6742.KLYTL Power International Berhad1.11%$0.0413.90%
6920.TLasertec Corporation1.11%$328.9731.31%
FERGFerguson plc1.11%$2.4925.04%
FRAS3.SAFras-le S.A.1.11%$0.2720.45%
WTN.AXWinton Land Limited1.11%$0.032.57%
002559.SZJiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co., Ltd.1.10%$0.1180.31%
002891.SZYantai China Pet Foods Co., Ltd.1.10%$0.5740.72%
002901.SZDouble Medical Technology Inc.1.10%$0.5239.26%
002922.SZEaglerise Electric & Electronic (China) Co., Ltd1.10%$0.3452.70%
012610.KSKyungin Synthetic Co., Ltd.1.10%$54.9429.75%
300735.SZDBG Technology Co., Ltd.1.10%$0.2764.53%
301135.SZGuangdong Real-Design Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd1.10%$0.3176.35%
5272.KLRanhill Utilities Berhad1.10%$0.0233.57%
600597.SSBright Dairy & Food Co.,Ltd1.10%$0.0917.78%
6445.TJANOME Corporation1.10%$12.7626.30%
688230.SSShanghai Prisemi Electronics Co.,Ltd.1.10%$0.8091.66%
688551.SSHefei Kewell Power System Co.,Ltd.1.10%$0.4168.90%