Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

WEILONG Delicious Global Holdings Ltd (9985.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.03 - $191.36$71.51
Multi-Stage$21.37 - $23.31$22.32
Blended Fair Value$46.91
Current Price$13.23
Upside254.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS22.67%0.00%0.370.360.000.260.000.130.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2.92%0.00%-100.00%41,989.62%-99.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.45%5.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,234.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,954.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)279.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)446.96279.35167.61
Cash Retained (M)279.93279.93279.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-446.96-279.35-167.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)-167.030.58112.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,322.532,322.532,322.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.070.000.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.840.840.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.070.000.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.770.840.89
WACC / Discount Rate7.75%7.75%7.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.03$71.51$191.36
Upside / Downside172.34%440.49%1,346.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,234.822,380.082,534.782,699.542,875.013,061.893,153.75
Payout Ratio87.47%87.98%88.48%88.99%89.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,954.882,093.982,242.892,402.312,572.992,755.702,917.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.75%7.75%7.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,925.051,943.291,961.54
Year 2 PV (M)1,895.601,931.711,968.15
Year 3 PV (M)1,866.551,920.131,974.72
Year 4 PV (M)1,837.881,908.561,981.25
Year 5 PV (M)1,809.591,896.991,987.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,295.8142,242.1144,262.91
Equity Value (M)49,630.4751,842.7954,136.32
Shares Outstanding (M)2,322.532,322.532,322.53
Fair Value$21.37$22.32$23.31
Upside / Downside61.52%68.72%76.18%

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