Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

HEICO Corporation (0J46.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$387.07 - $907.50$850.46
Multi-Stage$131.04 - $143.59$137.20
Blended Fair Value$493.83
Current Price$325.94
Upside51.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.23%13.81%0.210.190.170.160.150.130.110.090.080.07
YoY Growth--6.21%11.87%6.36%6.73%15.31%21.66%19.96%19.42%14.78%17.23%
Dividend Yield--0.09%0.11%0.10%0.12%0.13%0.11%0.14%0.14%0.12%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)641.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)609.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)128.3680.2248.13
Cash Retained (M)609.81609.81609.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-128.36-80.22-48.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)481.45529.59561.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)140.64140.64140.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.423.773.99
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.423.773.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.653.994.22
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$387.07$850.46$907.50
Upside / Downside18.75%160.93%178.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)641.78683.49727.92775.23825.62879.29905.67
Payout Ratio4.98%21.98%38.99%55.99%73.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.97150.27283.81434.07602.67791.36837.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)139.78141.10142.43
Year 2 PV (M)245.57250.24254.97
Year 3 PV (M)349.37359.40369.62
Year 4 PV (M)451.21468.56486.41
Year 5 PV (M)551.12577.73605.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,692.9117,499.1918,336.32
Equity Value (M)18,429.9519,296.2320,195.11
Shares Outstanding (M)140.64140.64140.64
Fair Value$131.04$137.20$143.59
Upside / Downside-59.80%-57.91%-55.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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