Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha Tbk (WOMF.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$630.79 - $953.28$782.78
Multi-Stage$922.89 - $1,012.15$966.67
Blended Fair Value$874.72
Current Price$346.00
Upside152.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.78%0.00%20.2316.899.440.0022.2117.6414.800.000.000.00
YoY Growth--19.77%78.94%0.00%-100.00%25.88%19.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.56%4.22%3.15%0.00%9.10%9.24%4.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)250,409.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)78,529.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)171,880.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50,081.8031,301.1318,780.68
Cash Retained (M)171,880.00171,880.00171,880.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-50,081.80-31,301.13-18,780.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)121,798.20140,578.88153,099.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,481.483,481.483,481.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share34.9840.3843.98
LTM Dividend per Share22.5622.5622.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share34.9840.3843.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend57.5462.9466.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate-0.15%0.85%1.85%
Fair Value$630.79$782.78$953.28
Upside / Downside82.31%126.24%175.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)250,409.00252,543.52254,696.23256,867.29259,056.85261,265.09269,103.04
Payout Ratio31.36%43.09%54.82%66.54%78.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)78,529.00108,816.55139,614.73170,930.07202,769.13235,138.58248,920.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate-0.15%0.85%1.85%
Year 1 PV (M)98,877.2699,867.50100,857.73
Year 2 PV (M)115,274.77117,595.23119,938.82
Year 3 PV (M)128,239.84132,131.44136,100.98
Year 4 PV (M)138,231.76143,852.95149,643.85
Year 5 PV (M)145,657.01153,098.18160,840.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,586,749.312,718,898.462,856,394.13
Equity Value (M)3,213,029.943,365,443.753,523,775.92
Shares Outstanding (M)3,481.483,481.483,481.48
Fair Value$922.89$966.67$1,012.15
Upside / Downside166.73%179.38%192.53%

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