Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SVOA Public Company Limited (SVOA.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.72 - $7.43$5.16
Multi-Stage$6.73 - $7.41$7.06
Blended Fair Value$6.11
Current Price$1.40
Upside336.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.98%11.77%0.040.070.060.050.040.030.050.010.060.01
YoY Growth---48.58%22.41%16.00%25.00%33.16%-34.70%228.57%-75.00%330.77%8.33%
Dividend Yield--3.73%3.59%2.48%1.50%1.98%4.55%3.90%0.82%4.09%0.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)212.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)167.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.5826.6115.97
Cash Retained (M)167.34167.34167.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.58-26.61-15.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)124.76140.73151.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)947.00947.00947.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate5.76%5.76%5.76%
Growth Rate0.88%1.88%2.88%
Fair Value$3.72$5.16$7.43
Upside / Downside165.53%268.88%430.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)212.89216.88220.95225.10229.32233.62240.63
Payout Ratio21.40%35.12%48.84%62.56%76.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45.5576.16107.91140.82174.93210.26222.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.76%5.76%5.76%
Growth Rate0.88%1.88%2.88%
Year 1 PV (M)71.3172.0272.73
Year 2 PV (M)94.6096.4898.38
Year 3 PV (M)115.58119.05122.59
Year 4 PV (M)134.43139.84145.41
Year 5 PV (M)151.29158.94166.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,809.926,103.666,409.16
Equity Value (M)6,377.126,689.987,015.16
Shares Outstanding (M)947.00947.00947.00
Fair Value$6.73$7.06$7.41
Upside / Downside381.00%404.60%429.13%

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