Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Green Chemical Co., Ltd. (083420.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,904.84 - $17,340.76$11,356.96
Multi-Stage$7,415.19 - $8,101.49$7,752.06
Blended Fair Value$9,554.51
Current Price$6,990.00
Upside36.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.34%5.99%230.84230.84230.83210.76192.07134.93136.83352.82137.69137.69
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%9.52%9.73%42.34%-1.38%-61.22%156.25%0.00%6.67%
Dividend Yield--4.16%2.97%2.10%2.07%1.38%4.65%4.67%9.22%3.81%3.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,544.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,598.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,946.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,908.861,193.04715.82
Cash Retained (M)3,946.013,946.013,946.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,908.86-1,193.04-715.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,037.142,752.973,230.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.2423.2423.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.65118.45138.98
LTM Dividend per Share240.88240.88240.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.65118.45138.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend328.53359.33379.86
WACC / Discount Rate8.31%8.31%8.31%
Growth Rate3.99%4.99%5.99%
Fair Value$7,904.84$11,356.96$17,340.76
Upside / Downside13.09%62.47%148.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,544.3210,020.1310,519.6511,044.0811,594.6512,172.6712,537.85
Payout Ratio58.66%64.92%71.19%77.46%83.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,598.326,505.557,489.328,555.019,708.3410,955.4011,597.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.31%8.31%8.31%
Growth Rate3.99%4.99%5.99%
Year 1 PV (M)5,949.376,006.596,063.80
Year 2 PV (M)6,263.506,384.556,506.75
Year 3 PV (M)6,543.086,733.676,927.93
Year 4 PV (M)6,790.387,055.387,328.06
Year 5 PV (M)7,007.537,351.027,707.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)139,784.96146,636.87153,754.88
Equity Value (M)172,338.83180,168.08188,289.28
Shares Outstanding (M)23.2423.2423.24
Fair Value$7,415.19$7,752.06$8,101.49
Upside / Downside6.08%10.90%15.90%

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