Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Aekyung Industrial Co., Ltd. (018250.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,192.93 - $11,606.73$9,878.13
Multi-Stage$12,762.07 - $13,983.48$13,361.10
Blended Fair Value$11,619.62
Current Price$15,960.00
Upside-27.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.75%0.00%580.28316.29204.06204.06462.63460.11290.51166.00124.500.00
YoY Growth--83.47%55.00%0.00%-55.89%0.55%58.38%75.00%33.33%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.45%1.71%1.12%1.10%1.87%1.97%0.56%0.49%0.37%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32,117.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14,611.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,505.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,423.424,014.642,408.78
Cash Retained (M)17,505.4417,505.4417,505.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,423.42-4,014.64-2,408.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,082.0113,490.8015,096.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.6925.6925.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share431.39525.16587.67
LTM Dividend per Share568.79568.79568.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share431.39525.16587.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,000.181,093.951,156.46
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8,192.93$9,878.13$11,606.73
Upside / Downside-48.67%-38.11%-27.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32,117.1231,795.9531,477.9931,163.2130,851.5830,543.0731,459.36
Payout Ratio45.50%54.40%63.30%72.20%81.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14,611.6917,295.7319,924.6322,499.2225,020.3327,488.7629,099.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)15,569.7015,728.5815,887.45
Year 2 PV (M)16,146.3016,477.5016,812.06
Year 3 PV (M)16,413.1416,920.7317,438.68
Year 4 PV (M)16,430.8017,111.7817,813.71
Year 5 PV (M)16,250.3417,096.5317,977.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)247,034.25259,897.90273,291.92
Equity Value (M)327,844.53343,233.01359,221.43
Shares Outstanding (M)25.6925.6925.69
Fair Value$12,762.07$13,361.10$13,983.48
Upside / Downside-20.04%-16.28%-12.38%

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