Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ILJIN Holdings Co., Ltd. (015860.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31,106.93 - $179,088.60$58,142.70
Multi-Stage$18,620.39 - $20,337.15$19,463.20
Blended Fair Value$38,802.95
Current Price$5,460.00
Upside610.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.24%12.91%272.61241.39246.40100.03146.2770.0251.3060.19111.81109.04
YoY Growth--12.93%-2.03%146.32%-31.61%108.89%36.49%-14.77%-46.17%2.54%34.66%
Dividend Yield--7.69%5.47%5.42%1.99%2.91%2.53%1.41%1.19%2.31%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41,397.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21,774.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)19,623.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,279.595,174.743,104.85
Cash Retained (M)19,623.5919,623.5919,623.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,279.59-5,174.74-3,104.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,344.0014,448.8416,518.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.9745.9745.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share246.76314.30359.32
LTM Dividend per Share473.65473.65473.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share246.76314.30359.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend720.41787.94832.97
WACC / Discount Rate7.94%7.94%7.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31,106.93$58,142.70$179,088.60
Upside / Downside469.72%964.88%3,180.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41,397.9544,088.8146,954.5950,006.6353,257.0656,718.7758,420.34
Payout Ratio52.60%60.08%67.56%75.04%82.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21,774.3626,487.7431,721.8637,524.5143,947.4851,046.9054,038.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.94%7.94%7.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24,308.1624,538.5724,768.98
Year 2 PV (M)26,716.1127,224.9727,738.64
Year 3 PV (M)29,002.5929,835.1530,683.49
Year 4 PV (M)31,171.8832,370.6633,603.69
Year 5 PV (M)33,228.1034,833.0336,499.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)711,585.21745,955.05781,640.29
Equity Value (M)856,012.06894,757.44934,934.49
Shares Outstanding (M)45.9745.9745.97
Fair Value$18,620.39$19,463.20$20,337.15
Upside / Downside241.03%256.47%272.48%

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