Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Surya Pertiwi Tbk (SPTO.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,945.18 - $20,152.41$18,881.82
Multi-Stage$6,145.84 - $6,749.22$6,441.81
Blended Fair Value$12,661.82
Current Price$660.00
Upside1,818.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.57%0.00%60.0050.0050.0035.0040.0038.0065.9377.7861.3754.24
YoY Growth--20.00%0.00%42.86%-12.50%5.26%-42.36%-15.24%26.75%13.14%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.76%8.93%9.09%6.31%8.44%6.28%6.87%6.54%5.16%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)279,669.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)190,400.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)89,269.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55,933.9334,958.7120,975.22
Cash Retained (M)89,269.6589,269.6589,269.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-55,933.93-34,958.71-20,975.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)33,335.7254,310.9568,294.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,700.002,700.002,700.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.3520.1225.29
LTM Dividend per Share70.5270.5270.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.3520.1225.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend82.8790.6395.81
WACC / Discount Rate4.60%4.60%4.60%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Fair Value$5,945.18$18,881.82$20,152.41
Upside / Downside800.78%2,760.88%2,953.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)279,669.65291,319.58303,454.80316,095.52329,262.81342,978.59353,267.95
Payout Ratio68.08%72.46%76.85%81.23%85.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)190,400.00211,102.57233,199.53256,771.12281,901.86308,680.73326,772.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.60%4.60%4.60%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Year 1 PV (M)199,874.64201,812.06203,749.48
Year 2 PV (M)209,052.82213,125.23217,236.91
Year 3 PV (M)217,940.89224,340.12230,863.41
Year 4 PV (M)226,545.09235,457.38244,630.07
Year 5 PV (M)234,871.55246,477.61258,538.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,505,485.9116,271,681.5917,067,871.23
Equity Value (M)16,593,770.9117,392,893.9918,222,889.10
Shares Outstanding (M)2,700.002,700.002,700.00
Fair Value$6,145.84$6,441.81$6,749.22
Upside / Downside831.19%876.03%922.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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