Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Frasers Property (Thailand) Public Company Limited (FPT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.03 - $15.03$11.68
Multi-Stage$26.21 - $28.89$27.52
Blended Fair Value$19.60
Current Price$6.30
Upside211.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.86%0.37%0.410.440.340.600.430.210.080.060.240.24
YoY Growth---6.74%28.87%-43.33%40.74%99.67%170.00%24.99%-73.30%0.05%-39.88%
Dividend Yield--3.47%2.89%2.23%4.97%3.47%1.44%0.59%0.36%1.55%2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,825.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)738.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,086.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)365.02228.14136.88
Cash Retained (M)1,086.191,086.191,086.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-365.02-228.14-136.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)721.17858.05949.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,314.752,314.752,314.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.370.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.370.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate-1.63%-0.63%0.37%
Fair Value$9.03$11.68$15.03
Upside / Downside43.36%85.39%138.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,825.091,813.511,802.011,790.571,779.211,767.931,820.97
Payout Ratio40.49%50.39%60.29%70.19%80.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)738.90913.801,086.461,256.881,425.101,591.131,684.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate-1.63%-0.63%0.37%
Year 1 PV (M)859.60868.34877.08
Year 2 PV (M)961.40981.051,000.89
Year 3 PV (M)1,046.241,078.481,111.37
Year 4 PV (M)1,115.911,161.991,209.48
Year 5 PV (M)1,172.031,232.831,296.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,508.9058,388.4161,386.21
Equity Value (M)60,664.0963,711.1066,881.15
Shares Outstanding (M)2,314.752,314.752,314.75
Fair Value$26.21$27.52$28.89
Upside / Downside315.99%336.89%358.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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