Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Halliburton Company (0R23.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.48 - $20.57$16.80
Multi-Stage$25.94 - $28.51$27.20
Blended Fair Value$22.00
Current Price$24.60
Upside-10.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.97%1.19%0.690.660.500.190.320.730.730.720.710.71
YoY Growth--4.17%32.41%170.19%-42.09%-55.87%0.00%0.64%0.97%0.98%15.20%
Dividend Yield--2.73%1.66%1.59%0.49%1.49%10.60%2.41%1.54%1.45%1.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,309.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)584.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)725.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)261.80163.6398.18
Cash Retained (M)725.00725.00725.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-261.80-163.63-98.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)463.20561.38626.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)867.25867.25867.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.650.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.650.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.211.321.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.29%7.29%7.29%
Growth Rate-1.53%-0.53%0.47%
Fair Value$13.48$16.80$20.57
Upside / Downside-45.20%-31.71%-16.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,309.001,302.111,295.261,288.451,281.671,274.931,313.17
Payout Ratio44.61%53.69%62.77%71.85%80.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)584.00699.12813.02925.691,037.161,147.431,214.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.29%7.29%7.29%
Growth Rate-1.53%-0.53%0.47%
Year 1 PV (M)645.05651.60658.15
Year 2 PV (M)692.11706.24720.51
Year 3 PV (M)727.08749.45772.28
Year 4 PV (M)751.62782.62814.56
Year 5 PV (M)767.21806.96848.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,915.0919,895.2020,915.53
Equity Value (M)22,498.1423,592.0724,729.38
Shares Outstanding (M)867.25867.25867.25
Fair Value$25.94$27.20$28.51
Upside / Downside5.46%10.58%15.91%

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