Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Arch Resources, Inc. (ARCH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: CoalSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$298.12 - $1,296.83$518.02
Multi-Stage$188.05 - $205.33$196.53
Blended Fair Value$357.28
Current Price$138.16
Upside158.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS45.82%23.25%11.1324.640.210.451.631.691.320.000.000.11
YoY Growth---54.84%11,816.24%-53.55%-72.72%-3.35%28.31%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-91.67%
Dividend Yield--6.98%18.74%0.15%1.07%5.65%1.84%1.43%0.00%0.00%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)179.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)91.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.8922.4313.46
Cash Retained (M)88.1788.1788.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.89-22.43-13.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.2865.7474.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.5218.5218.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.823.554.03
LTM Dividend per Share4.934.934.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.823.554.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.758.488.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$298.12$518.02$1,296.83
Upside / Downside115.78%274.94%838.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)179.45191.12203.54216.77230.86245.86253.24
Payout Ratio50.87%58.69%66.52%74.35%82.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)91.28112.17135.39161.16189.70221.28234.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)102.66103.63104.60
Year 2 PV (M)113.40115.56117.74
Year 3 PV (M)123.53127.07130.69
Year 4 PV (M)133.07138.19143.45
Year 5 PV (M)142.05148.92156.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,868.273,006.803,150.64
Equity Value (M)3,482.973,640.173,803.16
Shares Outstanding (M)18.5218.5218.52
Fair Value$188.05$196.53$205.33
Upside / Downside36.11%42.25%48.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 91 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
9104.TMitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd.1.23%$57.816.75%
BATR.JKBenteng Api Technic Tbk.1.23%$1.4036.27%
PAAL-B.COPer Aarsleff Holding A/S1.23%$10.7225.18%
000715.SZZhongxing Shenyang Commercial Building Group Co.,Ltd1.22%$0.0836.61%
002130.SZShenZhen Woer Heat-Shrinkable Material Co.,Ltd.1.22%$0.3239.58%
0133.HKChina Merchants China Direct Investments Limited1.22%$0.1914.27%
0564.HKZCZL Industrial Technology Group Company Limited Class H1.22%$0.2610.61%
0GMG.LAddnode Group AB (publ)1.22%$1.1440.63%
2376.HKLushang Life Services Co., Ltd.1.22%$0.036.51%
300251.SZBeijing Enlight Media Co., Ltd.1.22%$0.2026.99%
300263.SZLonghua Technology Group Co.,Ltd.1.22%$0.1161.13%
301132.SZJi'an Mankun Technology Co., Ltd.1.22%$0.4144.02%
600983.SSWhirlpool China Co., Ltd.1.22%$0.1219.14%
601799.SSChangzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting Systems Co.,Ltd.1.22%$1.5027.12%
TFBANK.STTF Bank AB (publ)1.22%$1.9717.64%
TOTS3.SATotvs S.a.1.22%$0.5036.80%
003017.SZZhejiang Dayang Biology Technology Co.,Ltd.1.21%$0.3632.30%
003028.SZGenbyte Technology Inc.1.21%$0.3635.28%
086450.KQDongKook Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.1.21%$206.6315.20%
300003.SZLepu Medical Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd.1.21%$0.1983.02%
3648.TAGS Corporation1.21%$15.9116.60%
3687.TFixstars Corporation1.21%$18.9128.89%
600222.SSHenan Taloph Pharmaceutical Stock Co.,Ltd1.21%$0.0893.49%
600378.SSHaohua Chemical Science & Technology Corp., Ltd.1.21%$0.3934.67%
600575.SSHuaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd1.21%$0.0420.84%
601101.SSBeijing Haohua Energy Resource Co., Ltd.1.21%$0.0926.44%
601198.SSDongxing Securities Corporation Limited1.21%$0.1724.60%
6944.TWOMega Union Technology Inc.1.21%$8.4522.42%
ERFEnerplus Corporation1.21%$0.2412.97%
GYLD-A.COGyldendal A/S1.21%$20.0044.02%
002007.SZHualan Biological Engineering Inc.1.20%$0.1835.04%
002140.KSKorea Industrial Co., Ltd.1.20%$30.037.91%
002185.SZTianshui Huatian Technology Co., Ltd.1.20%$0.1353.46%
002273.SZZhejiang Crystal-Optech Co., Ltd1.20%$0.3036.00%
002315.SZFocus Technology Co., Ltd.1.20%$0.5534.23%
002516.SZKuangda Technology Group Co., Ltd.1.20%$0.0865.15%
002534.SZXizi Clean Energy Equipment Manufacturing Co.,ltd.1.20%$0.2087.30%
0425.HKMinth Group Limited1.20%$0.409.99%
2630.TWAir Asia Co., Ltd.1.20%$0.6260.94%
2802.TAjinomoto Co., Inc.1.20%$39.9250.21%
300562.SZGuangdong Transtek Medical Electronics Co., Ltd1.20%$0.1645.17%
603680.SSKTK Group Co., Ltd.1.20%$0.1828.61%
6078.HKHygeia Healthcare Holdings Co., Limited1.20%$0.158.82%
BYGGP.STByggPartner Gruppen AB (publ)1.20%$0.5021.08%
GFH.AEGFH Financial Group BSC1.20%$0.0377.14%
NDA.DEAurubis AG1.20%$1.5112.24%
002171.SZAnhui Truchum Advanced Materials and Technology Co., Ltd.1.19%$0.1642.58%
002241.SZGoertek Inc.1.19%$0.3440.79%
002752.SZSunrise Group Company Limited1.19%$0.0826.12%
002893.SZBeijing Jingneng Thermal Co. Ltd. Class A1.19%$0.1342.82%