Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Yuasa Battery (Thailand) Public Company Limited (YUASA.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.92 - $46.76$36.19
Multi-Stage$28.68 - $31.36$29.99
Blended Fair Value$33.09
Current Price$11.70
Upside182.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.55%29.95%0.410.350.290.440.350.300.240.190.080.00
YoY Growth--19.08%18.88%-34.01%26.00%16.67%25.00%26.32%137.50%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.00%3.21%2.07%2.85%1.85%3.18%1.60%1.02%0.33%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)245.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)179.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.1030.6818.41
Cash Retained (M)179.96179.96179.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.10-30.68-18.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)130.87149.28161.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)107.55107.55107.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.221.391.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.221.391.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.832.002.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate3.23%4.23%5.23%
Fair Value$27.92$36.19$46.76
Upside / Downside138.63%209.35%299.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)245.48255.85266.66277.94289.68301.93310.98
Payout Ratio26.69%39.35%52.01%64.68%77.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.51100.68138.70179.76224.03271.73287.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate3.23%4.23%5.23%
Year 1 PV (M)90.6791.5592.42
Year 2 PV (M)112.49114.68116.89
Year 3 PV (M)131.28135.14139.06
Year 4 PV (M)147.35153.14159.10
Year 5 PV (M)160.95168.90177.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,441.822,562.412,687.71
Equity Value (M)3,084.553,225.803,372.35
Shares Outstanding (M)107.55107.55107.55
Fair Value$28.68$29.99$31.36
Upside / Downside145.13%156.36%168.01%

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