Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sonae, SGPS, S.A. (YSON.F)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.28 - $1.96$1.60
Multi-Stage$2.85 - $3.13$2.99
Blended Fair Value$2.29
Current Price$1.33
Upside72.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-12.26%0.00%0.080.080.050.050.090.160.070.040.000.00
YoY Growth---0.63%64.79%2.11%-45.23%-43.23%113.53%81.53%2,866.43%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.71%9.44%4.94%4.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)272.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)164.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)108.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.6034.1220.47
Cash Retained (M)108.12108.12108.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.60-34.12-20.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.5273.9987.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,946.951,946.951,946.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.28$1.60$1.96
Upside / Downside-4.04%19.95%47.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)272.99270.26267.56264.88262.23259.61267.40
Payout Ratio60.40%66.32%72.24%78.16%84.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)164.87179.23193.28207.03220.48233.65247.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)166.41168.11169.81
Year 2 PV (M)166.62170.04173.50
Year 3 PV (M)165.72170.84176.07
Year 4 PV (M)163.87170.66177.66
Year 5 PV (M)161.24169.63178.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,723.954,969.945,226.07
Equity Value (M)5,547.815,819.236,101.48
Shares Outstanding (M)1,946.951,946.951,946.95
Fair Value$2.85$2.99$3.13
Upside / Downside114.25%124.73%135.63%

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