DDM Analysis: XGR2.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$31.98 - $79.16	$47.84
Multi-Stage	$23.35 - $25.45	$24.38
Blended Fair Value	$36.11
Current Price	$25.71
Upside	40.46%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.10%	8.05%	0.56	0.46	0.27	0.00	0.32	0.44	0.42	1.20	0.38	0.40
YoY Growth	-	-	21.80%	69.38%	0.00%	-100.00%	-26.86%	5.19%	-65.26%	217.98%	-6.68%	55.98%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.30%	2.28%	1.49%	0.00%	2.74%	2.19%	2.08%	6.02%	1.93%	2.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,475.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,526.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)	948.94

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	495.16	309.48	185.69
Cash Retained (M)	948.94	948.94	948.94
(-) Cash Required (M)	-495.16	-309.48	-185.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	453.78	639.46	763.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,712.25	1,712.25	1,712.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.37	0.45
LTM Dividend per Share	0.89	0.89	0.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.37	0.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.16	1.27	1.34
WACC / Discount Rate	9.32%	9.32%	9.32%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$31.98	$47.84	$79.16
Upside / Downside	24.38%	86.08%	207.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,475.82	2,636.75	2,808.14	2,990.67	3,185.06	3,392.09	3,493.86
Payout Ratio	61.67%	67.34%	73.00%	78.67%	84.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,526.88	1,775.52	2,050.03	2,352.72	2,686.10	3,052.88	3,231.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.32%	9.32%	9.32%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,608.95	1,624.20	1,639.45
Year 2 PV (M)	1,683.43	1,715.49	1,747.86
Year 3 PV (M)	1,750.74	1,801.00	1,852.21
Year 4 PV (M)	1,811.31	1,880.96	1,952.61
Year 5 PV (M)	1,865.51	1,955.61	2,049.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	31,265.21	32,775.33	34,343.24
Equity Value (M)	39,985.14	41,752.60	43,584.55
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,712.25	1,712.25	1,712.25
Fair Value	$23.35	$24.38	$25.45
Upside / Downside	-9.17%	-5.16%	-0.99%

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Financial Statements

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Compass Group PLC (XGR2.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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