Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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W.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125% (WRB-PH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$430.85 - $946.87$887.36
Multi-Stage$141.40 - $154.84$148.00
Blended Fair Value$517.68
Current Price$76.62
Upside575.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.53%11.35%1.331.250.590.890.210.770.640.470.460.14
YoY Growth--6.08%113.21%-33.89%322.76%-72.70%20.88%35.47%2.28%217.05%-68.02%
Dividend Yield--1.87%2.15%1.42%2.00%0.63%3.32%2.53%2.18%2.20%0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,905.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)508.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,397.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)381.20238.25142.95
Cash Retained (M)1,397.191,397.191,397.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-381.20-238.25-142.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,015.991,158.941,254.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.32400.32400.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.542.903.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.271.271.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.542.903.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.814.174.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$430.85$887.36$946.87
Upside / Downside462.32%1,058.13%1,135.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,905.992,029.882,161.822,302.342,451.992,611.372,689.72
Payout Ratio26.69%39.36%52.02%64.68%77.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)508.80798.881,124.521,489.111,896.352,350.242,487.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)743.55750.60757.64
Year 2 PV (M)974.14992.691,011.42
Year 3 PV (M)1,200.631,235.101,270.22
Year 4 PV (M)1,423.081,477.811,534.10
Year 5 PV (M)1,641.541,720.821,803.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,623.7453,068.8955,607.61
Equity Value (M)56,606.6859,245.9161,984.15
Shares Outstanding (M)400.32400.32400.32
Fair Value$141.40$148.00$154.84
Upside / Downside84.55%93.16%102.08%

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