Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

WLM Participações e Comércio de Máquinas e Veículos S.A. (WLMM3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$138.99 - $617.78$326.63
Multi-Stage$72.02 - $78.75$75.32
Blended Fair Value$200.97
Current Price$20.29
Upside890.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.47%1.69%0.660.390.510.340.320.190.000.000.081.26
YoY Growth--66.32%-23.22%51.00%7.59%68.71%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-93.83%126.73%
Dividend Yield--2.12%1.82%2.39%0.98%1.32%1.40%0.00%0.00%3.63%66.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)117.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.5514.728.83
Cash Retained (M)70.5770.5770.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.55-14.72-8.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.0255.8661.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.9037.9037.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.241.471.63
LTM Dividend per Share1.241.241.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.241.471.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.492.722.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.39%7.39%7.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$138.99$326.63$617.78
Upside / Downside585.04%1,509.79%2,944.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)117.74125.39133.54142.23151.47161.32166.15
Payout Ratio40.06%50.05%60.04%70.02%80.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.1762.7680.1899.59121.19145.18153.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.39%7.39%7.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)57.8958.4458.99
Year 2 PV (M)68.2369.5370.84
Year 3 PV (M)78.1880.4282.71
Year 4 PV (M)87.7691.1494.61
Year 5 PV (M)96.98101.67106.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,340.622,453.672,571.05
Equity Value (M)2,729.662,854.862,984.73
Shares Outstanding (M)37.9037.9037.90
Fair Value$72.02$75.32$78.75
Upside / Downside254.94%271.22%288.11%

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