Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Encore Wire Corporation (WIRE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$305.61 - $582.51$417.06
Multi-Stage$226.37 - $247.43$236.71
Blended Fair Value$326.89
Current Price$267.40
Upside22.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-3.78%-1.82%0.080.090.100.100.100.100.100.100.100.10
YoY Growth---11.11%-5.21%-1.03%-1.37%0.30%0.42%0.30%-0.06%0.00%0.18%
Dividend Yield--0.03%0.05%0.09%0.15%0.24%0.17%0.18%0.22%0.26%0.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)316.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)314.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)63.2439.5223.71
Cash Retained (M)314.87314.87314.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-63.24-39.52-23.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)251.63275.34291.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.6716.6716.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.0916.5117.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.0916.5117.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.1716.5917.54
WACC / Discount Rate10.74%10.74%10.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$305.61$417.06$582.51
Upside / Downside14.29%55.97%117.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)316.19336.75358.63381.95406.77433.21446.21
Payout Ratio0.42%18.33%36.25%54.17%72.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.3261.74130.01206.89293.22389.89412.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.74%10.74%10.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55.2355.7656.28
Year 2 PV (M)104.04106.02108.02
Year 3 PV (M)148.10152.36156.69
Year 4 PV (M)187.77194.99202.42
Year 5 PV (M)223.35234.14245.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,055.943,203.543,356.80
Equity Value (M)3,774.443,946.814,125.54
Shares Outstanding (M)16.6716.6716.67
Fair Value$226.37$236.71$247.43
Upside / Downside-15.34%-11.48%-7.47%

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