Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

WHA Utilities and Power Public Company Limited (WHAUP-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.51 - $5.96$4.58
Multi-Stage$14.13 - $15.58$14.84
Blended Fair Value$9.71
Current Price$4.18
Upside132.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.64%0.00%0.260.160.230.260.260.310.210.000.000.00
YoY Growth--57.82%-27.28%-12.87%0.02%-16.95%49.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.36%4.08%5.82%6.35%5.81%7.54%3.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,087.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)965.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)121.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)217.52135.9581.57
Cash Retained (M)121.83121.83121.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-217.52-135.95-81.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)-95.68-14.1240.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,709.143,709.143,709.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate4.55%4.55%4.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.51$4.58$5.96
Upside / Downside-16.03%9.49%42.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,087.581,076.711,065.941,055.281,044.731,034.281,065.31
Payout Ratio88.80%89.04%89.28%89.52%89.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)965.75958.68951.66944.68937.74930.85985.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.55%4.55%4.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)907.70916.96926.22
Year 2 PV (M)853.13870.63888.31
Year 3 PV (M)801.84826.64851.94
Year 4 PV (M)753.63784.86817.06
Year 5 PV (M)708.31745.19783.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)48,386.3750,905.9653,529.44
Equity Value (M)52,410.9855,050.2557,796.56
Shares Outstanding (M)3,709.143,709.143,709.14
Fair Value$14.13$14.84$15.58
Upside / Downside238.04%255.07%272.78%

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