Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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WHA Corporation Public Company Limited (WHA-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.75 - $65.68$61.55
Multi-Stage$14.97 - $16.40$15.67
Blended Fair Value$38.61
Current Price$3.56
Upside984.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.84%15.48%0.180.170.160.110.120.190.120.200.000.02
YoY Growth--9.98%3.12%43.03%-2.24%-39.55%61.37%-39.84%25,533.58%-96.62%-47.67%
Dividend Yield--5.38%3.47%3.77%3.35%3.33%8.72%2.80%5.28%0.02%0.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,936.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,848.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,087.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)987.30617.06370.24
Cash Retained (M)2,087.712,087.712,087.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-987.30-617.06-370.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,100.411,470.651,717.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14,946.9714,946.9714,946.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate5.32%5.32%5.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$55.75$61.55$65.68
Upside / Downside1,465.99%1,629.03%1,745.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,936.505,257.375,599.105,963.046,350.646,763.436,966.33
Payout Ratio57.71%64.17%70.63%77.08%83.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,848.793,373.493,954.384,596.525,305.436,087.096,443.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.32%5.32%5.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,173.083,203.163,233.24
Year 2 PV (M)3,498.493,565.133,632.39
Year 3 PV (M)3,825.023,934.824,046.70
Year 4 PV (M)4,152.664,312.364,476.63
Year 5 PV (M)4,481.434,697.894,922.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)204,689.28214,575.85224,840.80
Equity Value (M)223,819.97234,289.21245,152.39
Shares Outstanding (M)14,946.9714,946.9714,946.97
Fair Value$14.97$15.67$16.40
Upside / Downside320.63%340.30%360.72%

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