Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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WAM Global Limited (WGB.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - GlobalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.40 - $15.09$12.68
Multi-Stage$17.10 - $18.81$17.94
Blended Fair Value$15.31
Current Price$2.50
Upside512.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.110.100.090.050.030.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%5.55%7.13%85.51%91.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.78%5.38%5.53%1.92%1.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)504.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)431.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)100.9363.0837.85
Cash Retained (M)431.57431.57431.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-100.93-63.08-37.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)330.64368.49393.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)355.20355.20355.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.931.041.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.931.041.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.141.241.31
WACC / Discount Rate8.71%8.71%8.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.40$12.68$15.09
Upside / Downside316.10%407.11%503.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)504.65499.60494.60489.66484.76479.91494.31
Payout Ratio14.48%29.58%44.69%59.79%74.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.08147.80221.03292.78363.07431.92457.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.71%8.71%8.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)134.59135.97137.34
Year 2 PV (M)183.28187.04190.84
Year 3 PV (M)221.07227.91234.88
Year 4 PV (M)249.64259.99270.65
Year 5 PV (M)270.43284.52299.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,015.965,277.155,549.11
Equity Value (M)6,074.976,372.566,682.00
Shares Outstanding (M)355.20355.20355.20
Fair Value$17.10$17.94$18.81
Upside / Downside584.11%617.62%652.47%

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