DDM Analysis: WDC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$23.70 - $31.02	$27.54
Multi-Stage	$54.78 - $60.94	$57.79
Blended Fair Value	$42.67
Current Price	$131.31
Upside	-67.51%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-40.60%	-19.73%	0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.64	1.61	1.63	1.58	1.28
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	1.88%	-1.52%	3.31%	23.71%	17.17%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.19%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	6.03%	4.28%	3.69%	2.42%	2.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,557.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	83.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,474.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	511.40	319.63	191.78
Cash Retained (M)	2,474.00	2,474.00	2,474.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-511.40	-319.63	-191.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,962.60	2,154.38	2,282.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	363.25	363.25	363.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.40	5.93	6.28
LTM Dividend per Share	0.23	0.23	0.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.40	5.93	6.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.63	6.16	6.51
WACC / Discount Rate	8.08%	8.08%	8.08%
Growth Rate	-12.67%	-11.67%	-10.67%
Fair Value	$23.70	$27.54	$31.02
Upside / Downside	-81.95%	-79.02%	-76.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,557.00	2,258.60	1,995.02	1,762.20	1,556.55	1,374.90	1,416.14
Payout Ratio	3.25%	20.60%	37.95%	55.30%	72.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	83.00	465.20	757.06	974.47	1,130.82	1,237.41	1,309.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.08%	8.08%	8.08%
Growth Rate	-12.67%	-11.67%	-10.67%
Year 1 PV (M)	425.54	430.41	435.28
Year 2 PV (M)	633.48	648.07	662.83
Year 3 PV (M)	745.88	771.80	798.31
Year 4 PV (M)	791.77	828.66	866.83
Year 5 PV (M)	792.53	838.96	887.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)	16,508.08	17,475.13	18,486.98
Equity Value (M)	19,897.27	20,993.02	22,137.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	363.25	363.25	363.25
Fair Value	$54.78	$57.79	$60.94
Upside / Downside	-58.29%	-55.99%	-53.59%

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Western Digital Corporation (WDC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener