Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Koninklijke Vopak N.V. (VPK.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.75 - $100.99$82.87
Multi-Stage$113.03 - $124.10$118.46
Blended Fair Value$100.67
Current Price$42.22
Upside138.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.49%4.80%1.521.351.301.241.211.161.111.111.050.95
YoY Growth--12.51%4.02%4.19%3.01%3.99%4.85%0.07%5.02%11.06%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.57%4.40%4.67%4.04%2.81%2.40%2.79%3.07%2.35%2.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)925.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)368.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)557.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)185.18115.7469.44
Cash Retained (M)557.10557.10557.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-185.18-115.74-69.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)371.92441.36487.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)120.99120.99120.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.073.654.03
LTM Dividend per Share3.053.053.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.073.654.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.126.707.08
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate-1.01%-0.01%0.99%
Fair Value$66.75$82.87$100.99
Upside / Downside58.10%96.29%139.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)925.90925.77925.65925.52925.39925.26953.02
Payout Ratio39.83%49.87%59.90%69.93%79.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)368.80461.64554.45647.24740.00832.74881.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate-1.01%-0.01%0.99%
Year 1 PV (M)422.91427.19431.46
Year 2 PV (M)465.33474.78484.32
Year 3 PV (M)497.64512.87528.41
Year 4 PV (M)521.23542.61564.65
Year 5 PV (M)537.35565.04593.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,230.5711,809.4312,411.91
Equity Value (M)13,675.0314,331.9215,014.63
Shares Outstanding (M)120.99120.99120.99
Fair Value$113.03$118.46$124.10
Upside / Downside167.71%180.57%193.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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