DDM Analysis: VNT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$26.83 - $42.28	$33.90
Multi-Stage	$65.04 - $71.77	$68.34
Blended Fair Value	$51.12
Current Price	$42.16
Upside	21.25%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.10	0.10	0.11	0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.94%	-2.52%	25.20%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.31%	0.23%	0.39%	0.34%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	406.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	14.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)	391.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	81.22	50.76	30.46
Cash Retained (M)	391.30	391.30	391.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-81.22	-50.76	-30.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)	310.08	340.54	360.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	149.05	149.05	149.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.08	2.28	2.42
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.08	2.28	2.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.18	2.38	2.52
WACC / Discount Rate	5.96%	5.96%	5.96%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$26.83	$33.90	$42.28
Upside / Downside	-36.36%	-19.58%	0.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	406.10	402.04	398.02	394.04	390.10	386.20	397.78
Payout Ratio	3.64%	20.92%	38.19%	55.46%	72.73%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	14.80	84.09	151.99	218.52	283.71	347.58	367.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.96%	5.96%	5.96%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	78.56	79.36	80.16
Year 2 PV (M)	132.65	135.37	138.12
Year 3 PV (M)	178.17	183.68	189.30
Year 4 PV (M)	216.10	225.06	234.29
Year 5 PV (M)	247.33	260.20	273.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,841.37	9,301.76	9,781.13
Equity Value (M)	9,694.16	10,185.42	10,696.61
Shares Outstanding (M)	149.05	149.05	149.05
Fair Value	$65.04	$68.34	$71.77
Upside / Downside	54.27%	62.09%	70.22%

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Vontier Corporation (VNT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener