Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Vitreous Glass Inc. (VCI.V)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.51 - $9.74$7.30
Multi-Stage$12.73 - $13.99$13.35
Blended Fair Value$10.33
Current Price$5.99
Upside72.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.18%0.00%0.400.420.330.540.300.380.340.340.000.00
YoY Growth---4.12%27.35%-40.00%83.33%-21.05%11.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.41%7.15%7.78%11.90%7.49%10.40%9.46%8.86%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.530.330.20
Cash Retained (M)0.240.240.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.53-0.33-0.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.29-0.090.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.346.346.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.39
WACC / Discount Rate5.66%5.66%5.66%
Growth Rate-0.37%0.63%1.63%
Fair Value$5.51$7.30$9.74
Upside / Downside-7.95%21.93%62.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.642.662.682.692.712.732.81
Payout Ratio91.09%90.87%90.65%90.44%90.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.412.422.432.442.452.452.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.66%5.66%5.66%
Growth Rate-0.37%0.63%1.63%
Year 1 PV (M)2.262.292.31
Year 2 PV (M)2.132.172.22
Year 3 PV (M)2.002.072.13
Year 4 PV (M)1.891.962.04
Year 5 PV (M)1.771.861.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)70.7074.3278.09
Equity Value (M)80.7684.6788.74
Shares Outstanding (M)6.346.346.34
Fair Value$12.73$13.35$13.99
Upside / Downside112.56%122.87%133.58%

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