DDM Analysis: VALSX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13.56 - $20.45	$16.81
Multi-Stage	$19.89 - $21.76	$20.81
Blended Fair Value	$18.81
Current Price	$35.21
Upside	-46.57%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014
DPS	0.00%	4.78%	0.81	0.72	0.69	0.66	0.00	0.00	0.56	0.52	0.50	0.50
YoY Growth	-	-	12.68%	4.18%	4.45%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	7.28%	4.74%	-0.36%	-0.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.35%	2.07%	1.61%	1.56%	0.00%	0.00%	1.70%	1.69%	1.42%	1.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	18.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)	7.98

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.65	2.28	1.37
Cash Retained (M)	7.98	7.98	7.98
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.65	-2.28	-1.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4.33	5.70	6.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	11.75	11.75	11.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.37	0.48	0.56
LTM Dividend per Share	0.87	0.87	0.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.37	0.48	0.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.24	1.36	1.44
WACC / Discount Rate	9.22%	9.22%	9.22%
Growth Rate	0.05%	1.05%	2.05%
Fair Value	$13.56	$16.81	$20.45
Upside / Downside	-61.48%	-52.24%	-41.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	18.27	18.46	18.65	18.85	19.04	19.24	19.82
Payout Ratio	56.29%	63.03%	69.78%	76.52%	83.26%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10.28	11.63	13.01	14.42	15.85	17.32	18.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.22%	9.22%	9.22%
Growth Rate	0.05%	1.05%	2.05%
Year 1 PV (M)	10.55	10.65	10.76
Year 2 PV (M)	10.69	10.91	11.13
Year 3 PV (M)	10.74	11.07	11.40
Year 4 PV (M)	10.71	11.14	11.59
Year 5 PV (M)	10.60	11.14	11.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)	180.46	189.66	199.23
Equity Value (M)	233.75	244.57	255.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	11.75	11.75	11.75
Fair Value	$19.89	$20.81	$21.76
Upside / Downside	-43.52%	-40.90%	-38.19%

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Financial Statements

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Value Line Select Growth Fund (VALSX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener