DDM Analysis: VALMT.HE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$40.22 - $132.96	$65.48
Multi-Stage	$27.90 - $30.39	$29.12
Blended Fair Value	$47.30
Current Price	$28.28
Upside	67.25%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	20.75%	27.46%	1.35	1.30	0.97	0.73	0.65	0.53	0.44	0.34	0.28	0.20
YoY Growth	-	-	4.18%	33.52%	32.59%	12.50%	23.71%	18.29%	30.16%	21.15%	40.54%	68.18%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.41%	5.32%	3.25%	2.60%	2.10%	2.94%	1.92%	2.10%	1.94%	2.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	273.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	248.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	25.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	54.60	34.13	20.48
Cash Retained (M)	25.00	25.00	25.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-54.60	-34.13	-20.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-29.60	-9.13	4.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	184.37	184.37	184.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.16	-0.05	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	1.35	1.35	1.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.16	-0.05	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.18	1.30	1.37
WACC / Discount Rate	8.61%	8.61%	8.61%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$40.22	$65.48	$132.96
Upside / Downside	42.22%	131.53%	370.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	273.00	290.75	309.64	329.77	351.21	374.03	385.25
Payout Ratio	90.84%	90.67%	90.51%	90.34%	90.17%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	248.00	263.63	280.24	297.90	316.68	336.63	356.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.61%	8.61%	8.61%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	240.46	242.74	245.02
Year 2 PV (M)	233.14	237.58	242.07
Year 3 PV (M)	226.05	232.54	239.15
Year 4 PV (M)	219.17	227.60	236.27
Year 5 PV (M)	212.51	222.77	233.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,011.86	4,205.63	4,406.82
Equity Value (M)	5,143.19	5,368.86	5,602.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	184.37	184.37	184.37
Fair Value	$27.90	$29.12	$30.39
Upside / Downside	-1.36%	2.97%	7.46%

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Valmet Oyj (VALMT.HE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener