Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Venture Corporation Limited (V03.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$266.60 - $314.48$294.54
Multi-Stage$172.53 - $190.34$181.26
Blended Fair Value$237.90
Current Price$11.41
Upside1,985.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.52%4.70%0.750.750.750.750.750.700.790.490.480.48
YoY Growth---0.32%0.05%0.13%0.43%7.54%-12.31%63.45%1.68%0.29%0.47%
Dividend Yield--5.70%5.40%4.41%4.10%3.85%4.29%5.68%2.26%4.83%5.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)488.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)434.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)53.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)97.6161.0036.60
Cash Retained (M)53.9253.9253.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-97.61-61.00-36.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)-43.69-7.0817.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)290.10290.10290.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.15-0.020.06
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.15-0.020.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.471.56
WACC / Discount Rate-1.51%-1.51%-1.51%
Growth Rate-0.95%0.05%1.05%
Fair Value$266.60$294.54$314.48
Upside / Downside2,236.53%2,481.38%2,656.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)488.03488.26488.49488.73488.96489.19503.87
Payout Ratio88.95%89.16%89.37%89.58%89.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)434.11435.34436.57437.80439.04440.27466.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.51%-1.51%-1.51%
Growth Rate-0.95%0.05%1.05%
Year 1 PV (M)437.59442.01446.43
Year 2 PV (M)441.11450.06459.10
Year 3 PV (M)444.65458.25472.13
Year 4 PV (M)448.21466.59485.53
Year 5 PV (M)451.81475.08499.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,828.8250,292.5052,856.67
Equity Value (M)50,052.1952,584.4955,219.16
Shares Outstanding (M)290.10290.10290.10
Fair Value$172.53$181.26$190.34
Upside / Downside1,412.12%1,488.63%1,568.22%

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