Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

United Rentals, Inc. (URI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,614.54 - $7,715.81$7,230.84
Multi-Stage$1,042.68 - $1,141.77$1,091.31
Blended Fair Value$4,161.08
Current Price$954.66
Upside335.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%6.666.230.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--6.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.06%0.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,530.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)458.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,072.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)506.00316.25189.75
Cash Retained (M)2,072.002,072.002,072.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-506.00-316.25-189.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,566.001,755.751,882.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.2165.2165.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share24.0126.9228.86
LTM Dividend per Share7.027.027.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share24.0126.9228.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend31.0433.9535.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,614.54$7,230.84$7,715.81
Upside / Downside173.87%657.43%708.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,530.002,694.452,869.593,056.113,254.763,466.323,570.31
Payout Ratio18.10%32.48%46.86%61.24%75.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)458.00875.221,344.741,871.602,461.273,119.693,302.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)812.16819.86827.56
Year 2 PV (M)1,157.941,180.001,202.26
Year 3 PV (M)1,495.501,538.441,582.18
Year 4 PV (M)1,824.991,895.171,967.36
Year 5 PV (M)2,146.532,250.212,357.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)60,556.7063,481.6166,518.46
Equity Value (M)67,993.8271,165.2874,455.67
Shares Outstanding (M)65.2165.2165.21
Fair Value$1,042.68$1,091.31$1,141.77
Upside / Downside9.22%14.31%19.60%

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